Case study

SHOPERSTOP

SHOPPERS STOP LIMITED

Tread carefully1y model +3.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

36Score

SHOPPERS STOP LIMITED (SHOPERSTOP) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is SHOPERSTOP a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

SHOPPERS STOP LIMITED (SHOPERSTOP) trades at ₹420,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100.

On the numbers, SHOPPERS STOP LIMITED (SHOPERSTOP) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100, weighing premium at 26.4× earnings, ROE of -6.4%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

SHOPERSTOP fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹4,613 Cr
Current price
₹420
P/E ratio
26.4×
P/B ratio
15.91×
Book value
₹26
ROCE
7.0%
ROE
-6.4%
Piotroski F-Score
2/8

How SHOPERSTOP ranks against the 2,371 companies in our screener

Is SHOPERSTOP overvalued? SHOPERSTOP P/E vs peers

SHOPERSTOP trades at 26.4× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

SHOPERSTOP share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of SHOPERSTOP history (1%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
SHOPERSTOP 2027₹269₹436₹705+4%
SHOPERSTOP 2028₹229₹452₹890+8%
SHOPERSTOP 2029₹203₹469₹1,081+12%
SHOPERSTOP 2030₹187₹486₹1,262+16%
SHOPERSTOP 2031₹171₹504₹1,483+20%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability SHOPERSTOP goes up, or doubles?

54%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
59%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
27%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹840 within 5 years

The bull case for SHOPERSTOP

  • SHOPPERS STOP LIMITED is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,081.

The bear case & risks

  • SHOPERSTOP's P/E of 26.4x is lower than 51% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 15.9× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • SHOPERSTOP's Piotroski F-Score of 2/8 ranks in the 6th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹203.

SHOPERSTOP volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years SHOPERSTOP compounded at 1%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹269-₹705, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

SHOPERSTOP price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.7%
80% range₹269-₹705
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)4%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
11.6%
80% range₹203-₹1,081
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
20.0%
80% range₹171-₹1,483
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)27%

SHOPERSTOP price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
SHOPERSTOP simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds SHOPERSTOP hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the SHOPERSTOP price target & forecast page.

SHOPERSTOP Piotroski F-Score: 2/8, how financially strong is it?

2/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SHOPERSTOP scores 2/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.

SHOPERSTOP MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SHOPERSTOP with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST33.07%3.0×
Groww33.16%3.0×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money33.25%3.0×
Pocketful33.39%3.0×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST33.07%3.0×
Bajaj Broking35.00%2.9×
Share India33.16%3.0×

Compare every broker on the SHOPERSTOP MTF page.

About SHOPPERS STOP LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

SHOPPERS STOP LIMITED (SHOPERSTOP) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹4,613 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the SHOPERSTOP Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of SHOPPERS STOP LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

SHOPERSTOP analysis, FAQs

Is SHOPPERS STOP LIMITED (SHOPERSTOP) a good buy?

On the numbers, SHOPPERS STOP LIMITED (SHOPERSTOP) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100, weighing premium at 26.4× earnings, ROE of -6.4%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is SHOPERSTOP overvalued or undervalued?

SHOPERSTOP trades at 26.4× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the SHOPERSTOP share price target for 2031?

SHOPERSTOP's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹504, with an 80% range of ₹171-₹1,483 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability SHOPERSTOP doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of SHOPERSTOP reaching ₹840 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.

What is the bull case for SHOPERSTOP?

SHOPPERS STOP LIMITED is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in SHOPERSTOP?

SHOPERSTOP's P/E of 26.4x is lower than 51% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026. A steep 15.9× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. SHOPERSTOP's Piotroski F-Score of 2/8 ranks in the 6th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.

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