Case study

SHREECEM

SHREE CEMENT LIMITED

Tread carefully1y model +7.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

44Score

SHREE CEMENT LIMITED (SHREECEM) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is SHREECEM a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

SHREE CEMENT LIMITED (SHREECEM) trades at ₹26,245,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100.

On the numbers, SHREE CEMENT LIMITED (SHREECEM) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing expensive at 58.3× earnings, ROE of 7.5%, a 63% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

SHREECEM fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹95,081 Cr
Current price
₹26,245
P/E ratio
58.3×
P/B ratio
4.07×
Book value
₹6,449
Dividend yield
0.57%
ROCE
10.3%
ROE
7.5%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How SHREECEM ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is SHREECEM overvalued? SHREECEM P/E vs peers

SHREECEM trades at 58.3× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

SHREECEM share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of SHREECEM history (4%/yr drift, 22%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
SHREECEM 2027₹21,216₹28,005₹36,966+8%
SHREECEM 2028₹20,297₹30,153₹44,795+16%
SHREECEM 2029₹19,867₹32,466₹53,055+25%
SHREECEM 2030₹20,130₹34,956₹60,701+34%
SHREECEM 2031₹19,928₹37,637₹71,083+45%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability SHREECEM goes up, or doubles?

63%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
78%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
25%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹52,020 within 5 years

The bull case for SHREECEM

  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 63% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹28,005 (+8%).
  • Relatively low volatility (22%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹53,055.

The bear case & risks

  • SHREECEM's P/E of 57.6x is lower than 22% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • SHREECEM's return on equity of 7.5% ranks in the 38th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹19,867.

SHREECEM volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years SHREECEM compounded at 4%/year with annualized volatility of 22%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹21,216-₹36,966, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

SHREECEM price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
7.7%
80% range₹21,216-₹36,966
P(price ↑)63%
P(price 2×)0%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
24.8%
80% range₹19,867-₹53,055
P(price ↑)72%
P(price 2×)11%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
44.7%
80% range₹19,928-₹71,083
P(price ↑)78%
P(price 2×)25%

SHREECEM price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
SHREECEM simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds SHREECEM hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the SHREECEM price target & forecast page.

SHREECEM Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SHREECEM scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

SHREECEM MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SHREECEM with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox23.03%4.3×
Zerodha22.60%4.4×
Groww22.58%4.4×
Dhan22.00%4.5×
Kotak NeoCHEAPEST20.00%5.0×
Paytm MoneyCHEAPEST20.00%5.0×
Pocketful26.50%3.8×
Anand Rathi26.51%3.8×
Bajaj Broking23.00%4.3×
Share India26.53%3.8×

Compare every broker on the SHREECEM MTF page.

About SHREE CEMENT LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

SHREE CEMENT LIMITED (SHREECEM) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹95,081 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the SHREECEM Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of SHREE CEMENT LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

SHREECEM analysis, FAQs

Is SHREE CEMENT LIMITED (SHREECEM) a good buy?

On the numbers, SHREE CEMENT LIMITED (SHREECEM) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing expensive at 58.3× earnings, ROE of 7.5%, a 63% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is SHREECEM overvalued or undervalued?

SHREECEM trades at 58.3× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the SHREECEM share price target for 2031?

SHREECEM's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹37,637, with an 80% range of ₹19,928-₹71,083 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability SHREECEM doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of SHREECEM reaching ₹52,020 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.

What is the bull case for SHREECEM?

A 10,000-path probability model puts a 63% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹28,005 (+8%). Relatively low volatility (22%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.

What are the risks in SHREECEM?

SHREECEM's P/E of 57.6x is lower than 22% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. SHREECEM's return on equity of 7.5% ranks in the 38th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on SHREECEM