SHREECEM
Shree Cement
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Shree Cement (SHREECEM) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SHREECEM a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Shree Cement (SHREECEM) trades at ₹24,995,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 30/100.
On the numbers, Shree Cement (SHREECEM) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 30/100, weighing expensive at 51.8× earnings, ROE of 7.8%, a 37% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SHREECEM fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is SHREECEM overvalued? SHREECEM P/E vs its sector
SHREECEM's P/E of 51.8× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.44% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
SHREECEM share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of SHREECEM history (-4%/yr drift, 21%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHREECEM 2027 | ₹17,894 | ₹23,373 | ₹30,713 | -7% |
| SHREECEM 2028 | ₹14,965 | ₹21,828 | ₹32,159 | -13% |
| SHREECEM 2029 | ₹12,804 | ₹20,508 | ₹32,747 | -18% |
| SHREECEM 2030 | ₹11,213 | ₹19,260 | ₹32,986 | -23% |
| SHREECEM 2031 | ₹9,916 | ₹18,042 | ₹33,015 | -28% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SHREECEM goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SHREECEM
- Relatively low volatility (21%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹32,747.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 51.8× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- Return on equity is a soft 7.8%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 37% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹12,804.
SHREECEM volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years SHREECEM compounded at -4%/year with annualized volatility of 21%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹17,894–₹30,713, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SHREECEM price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SHREECEM price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SHREECEM hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SHREECEM price target & forecast page.
SHREECEM Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. SHREECEM scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
SHREECEM MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SHREECEM with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 26.5% | 3.8× |
| Zerodha | 22.6% | 4.4× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 22.0% | 4.5× |
Compare every broker on the SHREECEM MTF page.
SHREECEM vs peers,sector comparison
About Shree Cement: sector, index & market-cap context
Shree Cement (SHREECEM) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹90,293 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.
How the SHREECEM Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Shree Cement's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SHREECEM analysis, FAQs
Is Shree Cement (SHREECEM) a good buy?
On the numbers, Shree Cement (SHREECEM) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 30/100, weighing expensive at 51.8× earnings, ROE of 7.8%, a 37% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SHREECEM overvalued or undervalued?
SHREECEM trades at 51.8× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the SHREECEM share price target for 2031?
SHREECEM's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹18,042, with an 80% range of ₹9,916–₹33,015 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SHREECEM doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SHREECEM reaching ₹50,150 (2×) within 5 years is 2%.
What is the bull case for SHREECEM?
Relatively low volatility (21%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
What are the risks in SHREECEM?
A rich 51.8× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 7.8%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 37% chance of finishing above today's price.