SHYAMMETL
Shyam Metalics and Energy
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Shyam Metalics and Energy (SHYAMMETL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SHYAMMETL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Shyam Metalics and Energy (SHYAMMETL) trades at ₹961,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.
On the numbers, Shyam Metalics and Energy (SHYAMMETL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 25.1× earnings, ROE of 9.7%, a 67% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SHYAMMETL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is SHYAMMETL overvalued? SHYAMMETL P/E vs its sector
SHYAMMETL's P/E of 25.1× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.47% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
SHYAMMETL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of SHYAMMETL history (20%/yr drift, 32%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHYAMMETL 2027 | ₹748 | ₹1,120 | ₹1,690 | +15% |
| SHYAMMETL 2028 | ₹727 | ₹1,307 | ₹2,333 | +35% |
| SHYAMMETL 2029 | ₹738 | ₹1,516 | ₹3,139 | +56% |
| SHYAMMETL 2030 | ₹766 | ₹1,747 | ₹4,050 | +80% |
| SHYAMMETL 2031 | ₹813 | ₹2,016 | ₹5,144 | +108% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SHYAMMETL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SHYAMMETL
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 67% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,120 (+15%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,139.
The bear case & risks
- At 25.1× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- Return on equity is a soft 9.7%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹738.
SHYAMMETL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years SHYAMMETL compounded at 20%/year with annualized volatility of 32%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹748–₹1,690, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SHYAMMETL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SHYAMMETL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SHYAMMETL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SHYAMMETL price target & forecast page.
SHYAMMETL Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. SHYAMMETL scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
SHYAMMETL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SHYAMMETL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 29.9% | 3.3× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 29.9% | 3.3× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 29.9% | 3.3× |
Compare every broker on the SHYAMMETL MTF page.
SHYAMMETL vs peers,sector comparison
About Shyam Metalics and Energy: sector, index & market-cap context
Shyam Metalics and Energy (SHYAMMETL) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹26,880 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the SHYAMMETL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Shyam Metalics and Energy's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SHYAMMETL analysis, FAQs
Is Shyam Metalics and Energy (SHYAMMETL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Shyam Metalics and Energy (SHYAMMETL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 25.1× earnings, ROE of 9.7%, a 67% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SHYAMMETL overvalued or undervalued?
SHYAMMETL trades at 25.1× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the SHYAMMETL share price target for 2031?
SHYAMMETL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2,016, with an 80% range of ₹813–₹5,144 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SHYAMMETL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SHYAMMETL reaching ₹1,941 (2×) within 5 years is 52%.
What is the bull case for SHYAMMETL?
A 10,000-path probability model puts a 67% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,120 (+15%).
What are the risks in SHYAMMETL?
At 25.1× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. Return on equity is a soft 9.7%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.