Case study

SILVER1

KOTAKMAMC - KOTAKSILVE

Mixed signals1y model -1.8%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

45Score

KOTAKMAMC - KOTAKSILVE (SILVER1) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is SILVER1 a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100.

On the numbers, KOTAKMAMC - KOTAKSILVE (SILVER1) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

How SILVER1 ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

SILVER1 is not currently one of the 2,373 companies in our live screener universe, so no percentile comparison is available for it here.

SILVER1 share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 3.6y of SILVER1 history (32%/yr drift, 54%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
SILVER1 2027₹11₹22₹44-2%
SILVER1 2028₹8₹22₹56-3%
SILVER1 2029₹6₹21₹71-5%
SILVER1 2030₹5₹21₹86-7%
SILVER1 2031₹4₹20₹98-8%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability SILVER1 goes up, or doubles?

49%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
47%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
26%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹45 within 5 years

The bull case for SILVER1

  • KOTAKMAMC - KOTAKSILVE is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹71.

The bear case & risks

  • High historical volatility (54%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹6.

SILVER1 volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 3.6 years SILVER1 compounded at 32%/year with annualized volatility of 54%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹11-₹44, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

SILVER1 price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 3.6 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.8%
80% range₹11-₹44
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)9%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
5.2%
80% range₹6-₹71
P(price ↑)48%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
8.5%
80% range₹4-₹98
P(price ↑)47%
P(price 2×)26%

SILVER1 price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
SILVER1 simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds SILVER1 hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the SILVER1 price target & forecast page.

SILVER1 MTF margin & leverage across 8 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SILVER1 with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 8 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox39.18%2.6×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST39.16%2.6×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money39.62%2.5×
Pocketful40.00%2.5×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST39.16%2.6×
Share India39.31%2.5×

Compare every broker on the SILVER1 MTF page.

About KOTAKMAMC - KOTAKSILVE: sector, index & market-cap context

KOTAKMAMC - KOTAKSILVE (SILVER1) is an NSE-listed company. See more stocks on our screener.

How the SILVER1 Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of KOTAKMAMC - KOTAKSILVE's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

SILVER1 analysis, FAQs

Is KOTAKMAMC - KOTAKSILVE (SILVER1) a good buy?

On the numbers, KOTAKMAMC - KOTAKSILVE (SILVER1) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is SILVER1 overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation ratios for SILVER1 are tracked live on Downstox.

What is the SILVER1 share price target for 2031?

SILVER1's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹20, with an 80% range of ₹4-₹98 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability SILVER1 doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of SILVER1 reaching ₹45 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.

What is the bull case for SILVER1?

KOTAKMAMC - KOTAKSILVE is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in SILVER1?

High historical volatility (54%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on SILVER1