Case study

SIMPLEXINF

Simplex Infrastructures Limited

High-risk on the numbers1y model -1.6%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

20Score

Simplex Infrastructures Limited (SIMPLEXINF) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is SIMPLEXINF a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Simplex Infrastructures Limited (SIMPLEXINF) trades at ₹237,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 20/100.

On the numbers, Simplex Infrastructures Limited (SIMPLEXINF) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 20/100, weighing expensive at 47.3× earnings, ROE of 5.3%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

SIMPLEXINF fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,864 Cr
Current price
₹237
P/E ratio
47.3×
P/B ratio
1.93×
Book value
₹123
ROCE
2.4%
ROE
5.3%
Piotroski F-Score
3/8

How SIMPLEXINF ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is SIMPLEXINF overvalued? SIMPLEXINF P/E vs peers

SIMPLEXINF trades at 47.3× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

SIMPLEXINF share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of SIMPLEXINF history (-3%/yr drift, 51%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
SIMPLEXINF 2027₹121₹235₹455-2%
SIMPLEXINF 2028₹90₹231₹593-3%
SIMPLEXINF 2029₹72₹228₹719-5%
SIMPLEXINF 2030₹59₹224₹856-6%
SIMPLEXINF 2031₹50₹221₹969-8%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability SIMPLEXINF goes up, or doubles?

49%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
47%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
25%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹478 within 5 years

The bull case for SIMPLEXINF

  • Simplex Infrastructures Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹719.

The bear case & risks

  • SIMPLEXINF's P/E of 47.9x is lower than 28% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • SIMPLEXINF's return on equity of 5.3% ranks in the 30th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • SIMPLEXINF's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (51%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹72.

SIMPLEXINF volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years SIMPLEXINF compounded at -3%/year with annualized volatility of 51%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹121-₹455, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

SIMPLEXINF price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.6%
80% range₹121-₹455
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)8%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
4.7%
80% range₹72-₹719
P(price ↑)48%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
7.7%
80% range₹50-₹969
P(price ↑)47%
P(price 2×)25%

SIMPLEXINF price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
SIMPLEXINF simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds SIMPLEXINF hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the SIMPLEXINF price target & forecast page.

SIMPLEXINF Piotroski F-Score: 3/8, how financially strong is it?

3/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SIMPLEXINF scores 3/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.

SIMPLEXINF MTF margin & leverage across 7 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SIMPLEXINF with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 7 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST39.70%2.5×
Zerodha50.00%2.0×
Groww39.91%2.5×
Dhan50.00%2.0×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Pocketful50.00%2.0×
Share India39.85%2.5×

Compare every broker on the SIMPLEXINF MTF page.

About Simplex Infrastructures Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Simplex Infrastructures Limited (SIMPLEXINF) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,864 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the SIMPLEXINF Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Simplex Infrastructures Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

SIMPLEXINF analysis, FAQs

Is Simplex Infrastructures Limited (SIMPLEXINF) a good buy?

On the numbers, Simplex Infrastructures Limited (SIMPLEXINF) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 20/100, weighing expensive at 47.3× earnings, ROE of 5.3%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is SIMPLEXINF overvalued or undervalued?

SIMPLEXINF trades at 47.3× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the SIMPLEXINF share price target for 2031?

SIMPLEXINF's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹221, with an 80% range of ₹50-₹969 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability SIMPLEXINF doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of SIMPLEXINF reaching ₹478 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.

What is the bull case for SIMPLEXINF?

Simplex Infrastructures Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in SIMPLEXINF?

SIMPLEXINF's P/E of 47.9x is lower than 28% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. SIMPLEXINF's return on equity of 5.3% ranks in the 30th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. SIMPLEXINF's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

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