SIRCA
Sirca Paint India
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Sirca Paint India (SIRCA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SIRCA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 50/100.
On the numbers, Sirca Paint India (SIRCA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 50/100, weighing a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SIRCA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of SIRCA history (13%/yr drift, 35%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SIRCA 2027 | ₹281 | ₹439 | ₹690 | +6% |
| SIRCA 2028 | ₹251 | ₹471 | ₹884 | +14% |
| SIRCA 2029 | ₹233 | ₹508 | ₹1,092 | +23% |
| SIRCA 2030 | ₹224 | ₹540 | ₹1,311 | +31% |
| SIRCA 2031 | ₹215 | ₹586 | ₹1,543 | +42% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SIRCA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SIRCA
- Sirca Paint India is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,092.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹233.
SIRCA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years SIRCA compounded at 13%/year with annualized volatility of 35%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹281–₹690, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SIRCA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SIRCA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SIRCA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SIRCA price target & forecast page.
SIRCA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SIRCA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 30.4% | 3.3× |
| Dhan | 40.0% | 2.5× |
Compare every broker on the SIRCA MTF page.
SIRCA vs peers,sector comparison
About Sirca Paint India: sector, index & market-cap context
Sirca Paint India (SIRCA) is an NSE-listed company.
How the SIRCA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Sirca Paint India's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SIRCA analysis, FAQs
Is Sirca Paint India (SIRCA) a good buy?
On the numbers, Sirca Paint India (SIRCA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 50/100, weighing a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SIRCA overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for SIRCA are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the SIRCA share price target for 2031?
SIRCA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹586, with an 80% range of ₹215–₹1,543 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SIRCA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SIRCA reaching ₹825 (2×) within 5 years is 32%.
What is the bull case for SIRCA?
Sirca Paint India is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in SIRCA?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.