SIRCA
Sirca Paints India Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Sirca Paints India Limited (SIRCA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SIRCA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Sirca Paints India Limited (SIRCA) trades at ₹450,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100.
On the numbers, Sirca Paints India Limited (SIRCA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing premium at 38.1× earnings, ROE of 15.8%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SIRCA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How SIRCA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- SIRCA's market cap of 2,555 Cr ranks in the 54th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SIRCA's book value of ₹84 ranks in the 46th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SIRCA's promoter holding of 65.2% ranks in the 63rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SIRCA's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 12.0% ranks in the 45th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SIRCA's 3-year revenue growth of 23.0% ranks in the 78th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SIRCA's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07x is lower than 82% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is SIRCA overvalued? SIRCA P/E vs peers
SIRCA trades at 38.1× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
SIRCA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 8.0y of SIRCA history (27%/yr drift, 34%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SIRCA 2027 | ₹310 | ₹482 | ₹750 | +7% |
| SIRCA 2028 | ₹276 | ₹517 | ₹965 | +15% |
| SIRCA 2029 | ₹261 | ₹553 | ₹1,173 | +23% |
| SIRCA 2030 | ₹251 | ₹593 | ₹1,402 | +32% |
| SIRCA 2031 | ₹241 | ₹635 | ₹1,677 | +41% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SIRCA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SIRCA
- SIRCA's return on equity of 15.8% ranks in the 74th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SIRCA's return on capital employed of 20.3% ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,173.
The bear case & risks
- SIRCA's P/E of 38.1x is lower than 36% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹261.
SIRCA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 8.0 years SIRCA compounded at 27%/year with annualized volatility of 34%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹310-₹750, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SIRCA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SIRCA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SIRCA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SIRCA price target & forecast page.
SIRCA Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SIRCA scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
SIRCA MTF margin & leverage across 8 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SIRCA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 8 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 29.73% | 3.4× |
| Groww | 29.81% | 3.4× |
| Dhan | 40.00% | 2.5× |
| Kotak Neo | 40.00% | 2.5× |
| Paytm Money | 35.77% | 2.8× |
| Pocketful | 29.91% | 3.3× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 29.73% | 3.4× |
| Share India | 29.81% | 3.4× |
Compare every broker on the SIRCA MTF page.
About Sirca Paints India Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Sirca Paints India Limited (SIRCA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,553 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the SIRCA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Sirca Paints India Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SIRCA analysis, FAQs
Is Sirca Paints India Limited (SIRCA) a good buy?
On the numbers, Sirca Paints India Limited (SIRCA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing premium at 38.1× earnings, ROE of 15.8%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SIRCA overvalued or undervalued?
SIRCA trades at 38.1× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the SIRCA share price target for 2031?
SIRCA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹635, with an 80% range of ₹241-₹1,677 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SIRCA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SIRCA reaching ₹900 (2×) within 5 years is 33%.
What is the bull case for SIRCA?
SIRCA's return on equity of 15.8% ranks in the 74th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. SIRCA's return on capital employed of 20.3% ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in SIRCA?
SIRCA's P/E of 38.1x is lower than 36% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.