SIYSIL
Siyaram Silk Mills Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Siyaram Silk Mills Limited (SIYSIL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SIYSIL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Siyaram Silk Mills Limited (SIYSIL) trades at ₹625,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 64/100.
On the numbers, Siyaram Silk Mills Limited (SIYSIL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 64/100, weighing inexpensive at 12.0× earnings, ROE of 14.9%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SIYSIL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How SIYSIL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- SIYSIL's market cap of 2,837 Cr ranks in the 56th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SIYSIL's book value of ₹322 ranks in the 82nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SIYSIL's promoter holding of 67.4% ranks in the 68th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SIYSIL's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of -6.0% ranks in the 23rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SIYSIL's 3-year revenue growth of 5.0% ranks in the 35th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SIYSIL's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.24x is lower than 58% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is SIYSIL overvalued? SIYSIL P/E vs peers
SIYSIL trades at 12.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
SIYSIL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of SIYSIL history (11%/yr drift, 49%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SIYSIL 2027 | ₹328 | ₹616 | ₹1,155 | -2% |
| SIYSIL 2028 | ₹250 | ₹606 | ₹1,474 | -3% |
| SIYSIL 2029 | ₹203 | ₹597 | ₹1,758 | -4% |
| SIYSIL 2030 | ₹167 | ₹588 | ₹2,074 | -6% |
| SIYSIL 2031 | ₹142 | ₹579 | ₹2,359 | -7% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SIYSIL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SIYSIL
- SIYSIL's P/E of 12.0x is lower than 82% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SIYSIL's return on equity of 14.9% ranks in the 71st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SIYSIL's return on capital employed of 18.8% ranks in the 77th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,758.
The bear case & risks
- High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹203.
SIYSIL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years SIYSIL compounded at 11%/year with annualized volatility of 49%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹328-₹1,155, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SIYSIL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SIYSIL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SIYSIL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SIYSIL price target & forecast page.
SIYSIL Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SIYSIL scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
SIYSIL MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SIYSIL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 34.75% | 2.9× |
| Groww | 34.93% | 2.9× |
| Dhan | 40.00% | 2.5× |
| Kotak Neo | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Paytm Money | 35.01% | 2.9× |
| Pocketful | 35.25% | 2.8× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 34.75% | 2.9× |
| Bajaj Broking | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Share India | 34.93% | 2.9× |
Compare every broker on the SIYSIL MTF page.
About Siyaram Silk Mills Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Siyaram Silk Mills Limited (SIYSIL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,837 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the SIYSIL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Siyaram Silk Mills Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SIYSIL analysis, FAQs
Is Siyaram Silk Mills Limited (SIYSIL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Siyaram Silk Mills Limited (SIYSIL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 64/100, weighing inexpensive at 12.0× earnings, ROE of 14.9%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SIYSIL overvalued or undervalued?
SIYSIL trades at 12.0× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the SIYSIL share price target for 2031?
SIYSIL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹579, with an 80% range of ₹142-₹2,359 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SIYSIL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SIYSIL reaching ₹1,251 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.
What is the bull case for SIYSIL?
SIYSIL's P/E of 12.0x is lower than 82% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. SIYSIL's return on equity of 14.9% ranks in the 71st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. SIYSIL's return on capital employed of 18.8% ranks in the 77th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in SIYSIL?
High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.