Case study

SJVN

Sjvn Limited

Tread carefully1y model +1.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

37Score

Sjvn Limited (SJVN) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is SJVN a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Sjvn Limited (SJVN) trades at ₹68,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 37/100.

On the numbers, Sjvn Limited (SJVN) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 37/100, weighing expensive at 42.1× earnings, ROE of 4.5%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

SJVN fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹26,899 Cr
Current price
₹68
P/E ratio
42.1×
P/B ratio
1.89×
Book value
₹36
Dividend yield
2.13%
ROCE
5.6%
ROE
4.5%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How SJVN ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is SJVN overvalued? SJVN P/E vs peers

SJVN trades at 42.1× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

SJVN share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of SJVN history (9%/yr drift, 35%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
SJVN 2027₹44₹69₹107+1%
SJVN 2028₹37₹70₹132+3%
SJVN 2029₹33₹71₹154+4%
SJVN 2030₹29₹72₹177+6%
SJVN 2031₹27₹73₹198+7%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability SJVN goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
54%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
21%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹136 within 5 years

The bull case for SJVN

  • SJVN's dividend yield of 1.7% ranks in the 82nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹154.

The bear case & risks

  • SJVN's P/E of 41.8x is lower than 32% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • SJVN's return on equity of 4.5% ranks in the 28th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹33.

SJVN volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years SJVN compounded at 9%/year with annualized volatility of 35%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹44-₹107, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

SJVN price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.4%
80% range₹44-₹107
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
4.3%
80% range₹33-₹154
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)14%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
7.3%
80% range₹27-₹198
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)21%

SJVN price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
SJVN simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds SJVN hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the SJVN price target & forecast page.

SJVN Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SJVN scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

SJVN MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SJVN with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox31.82%3.1×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST31.79%3.1×
Groww31.96%3.1×
Dhan31.79%3.1×
Kotak Neo34.97%2.9×
Paytm Money32.21%3.1×
Pocketful32.35%3.1×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST31.79%3.1×
Bajaj Broking35.00%2.9×
Share India31.93%3.1×

Compare every broker on the SJVN MTF page.

About Sjvn Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Sjvn Limited (SJVN) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹26,899 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the SJVN Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Sjvn Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

SJVN analysis, FAQs

Is Sjvn Limited (SJVN) a good buy?

On the numbers, Sjvn Limited (SJVN) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 37/100, weighing expensive at 42.1× earnings, ROE of 4.5%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is SJVN overvalued or undervalued?

SJVN trades at 42.1× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the SJVN share price target for 2031?

SJVN's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹73, with an 80% range of ₹27-₹198 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability SJVN doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of SJVN reaching ₹136 (2×) within 5 years is 21%.

What is the bull case for SJVN?

SJVN's dividend yield of 1.7% ranks in the 82nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in SJVN?

SJVN's P/E of 41.8x is lower than 32% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. SJVN's return on equity of 4.5% ranks in the 28th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

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