SJVN
SJVN
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
SJVN (SJVN) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SJVN a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
SJVN (SJVN) trades at ₹74,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100.
On the numbers, SJVN (SJVN) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100, weighing expensive at 45.3× earnings, ROE of 4.5%, a 16% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SJVN fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is SJVN overvalued? SJVN P/E vs its sector
SJVN's P/E of 45.3× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 1.97% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.67%.
SJVN share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of SJVN history (-30%/yr drift, 36%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJVN 2027 | ₹32 | ₹51 | ₹81 | -30% |
| SJVN 2028 | ₹18 | ₹36 | ₹68 | -51% |
| SJVN 2029 | ₹11 | ₹25 | ₹54 | -66% |
| SJVN 2030 | ₹7 | ₹17 | ₹43 | -76% |
| SJVN 2031 | ₹4 | ₹12 | ₹33 | -84% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SJVN goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SJVN
- SJVN is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹54.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 45.3× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- Return on equity is a soft 4.5%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 16% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹11.
SJVN volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years SJVN compounded at -30%/year with annualized volatility of 36%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹32–₹81, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SJVN price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SJVN price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SJVN hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SJVN price target & forecast page.
SJVN Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. SJVN scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
SJVN MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SJVN with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 32.9% | 3.0× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 32.9% | 3.0× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 32.9% | 3.0× |
Compare every broker on the SJVN MTF page.
SJVN vs peers,sector comparison
About SJVN: sector, index & market-cap context
SJVN (SJVN) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹29,112 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the SJVN Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of SJVN's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SJVN analysis, FAQs
Is SJVN (SJVN) a good buy?
On the numbers, SJVN (SJVN) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100, weighing expensive at 45.3× earnings, ROE of 4.5%, a 16% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SJVN overvalued or undervalued?
SJVN trades at 45.3× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the SJVN share price target for 2031?
SJVN's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹12, with an 80% range of ₹4–₹33 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SJVN doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SJVN reaching ₹146 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for SJVN?
SJVN is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in SJVN?
A rich 45.3× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 4.5%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 16% chance of finishing above today's price.