Case study

SKFINDIA

SKF India

Tread carefully1y model -60.1%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

SKF India (SKFINDIA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is SKFINDIA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.

On the numbers, SKF India (SKFINDIA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing a 7% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

SKFINDIA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of SKFINDIA history (-72%/yr drift, 62%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
SKFINDIA 2027₹297₹654₹1,460-60%
SKFINDIA 2028₹84₹262₹804-84%
SKFINDIA 2029₹27₹105₹418-94%
SKFINDIA 2030₹9₹42₹208-97%
SKFINDIA 2031₹3₹17₹101-99%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability SKFINDIA goes up, or doubles?

7%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
0%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
0%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹3,277 within 5 years

The bull case for SKFINDIA

  • SKF India is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹418.

The bear case & risks

  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 7% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • High historical volatility (62%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹27.

SKFINDIA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years SKFINDIA compounded at -72%/year with annualized volatility of 62%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹297₹1,460, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

SKFINDIA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
60.1%
80% range₹297–₹1,460
P(price ↑)7%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
93.6%
80% range₹27–₹418
P(price ↑)1%
P(price 2×)0%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
99.0%
80% range₹3–₹101
P(price ↑)0%
P(price 2×)0%

SKFINDIA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
SKFINDIA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds SKFINDIA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the SKFINDIA price target & forecast page.

SKFINDIA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SKFINDIA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.0%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST26.5%3.8×
DhanCHEAPEST26.5%3.8×

Compare every broker on the SKFINDIA MTF page.

SKFINDIA vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
SKFINDIA (this stock)
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About SKF India: sector, index & market-cap context

SKF India (SKFINDIA) is an NSE-listed company.

How the SKFINDIA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of SKF India's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

SKFINDIA analysis, FAQs

Is SKF India (SKFINDIA) a good buy?

On the numbers, SKF India (SKFINDIA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing a 7% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is SKFINDIA overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation ratios for SKFINDIA are tracked live on Downstox.

What is the SKFINDIA share price target for 2031?

SKFINDIA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹17, with an 80% range of ₹3₹101 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability SKFINDIA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of SKFINDIA reaching ₹3,277 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.

What is the bull case for SKFINDIA?

SKF India is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in SKFINDIA?

The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 7% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (62%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on SKFINDIA