Case study

SOBHA

SOBHA LIMITED

Tread carefully1y model +5.6%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

33Score

SOBHA LIMITED (SOBHA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is SOBHA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

SOBHA LIMITED (SOBHA) trades at ₹1,339,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.

On the numbers, SOBHA LIMITED (SOBHA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 62.1× earnings, ROE of 4.2%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

SOBHA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹14,318 Cr
Current price
₹1,339
P/E ratio
62.1×
P/B ratio
3.04×
Book value
₹441
Dividend yield
0.45%
ROCE
6.9%
ROE
4.2%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How SOBHA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is SOBHA overvalued? SOBHA P/E vs peers

SOBHA trades at 62.1× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

SOBHA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of SOBHA history (15%/yr drift, 35%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
SOBHA 2027₹897₹1,414₹2,229+6%
SOBHA 2028₹789₹1,494₹2,828+12%
SOBHA 2029₹720₹1,577₹3,454+18%
SOBHA 2030₹679₹1,666₹4,088+24%
SOBHA 2031₹646₹1,759₹4,791+31%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability SOBHA goes up, or doubles?

56%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
64%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
29%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹2,678 within 5 years

The bull case for SOBHA

  • SOBHA LIMITED is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,454.

The bear case & risks

  • SOBHA's P/E of 62.1x is lower than 20% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • SOBHA's return on equity of 4.2% ranks in the 27th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹720.

SOBHA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years SOBHA compounded at 15%/year with annualized volatility of 35%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹897-₹2,229, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

SOBHA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
5.6%
80% range₹897-₹2,229
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)4%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
17.8%
80% range₹720-₹3,454
P(price ↑)60%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
31.4%
80% range₹646-₹4,791
P(price ↑)64%
P(price 2×)29%

SOBHA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
SOBHA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds SOBHA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the SOBHA price target & forecast page.

SOBHA Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SOBHA scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

SOBHA MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SOBHA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox31.69%3.2×
Zerodha31.66%3.2×
Groww31.83%3.1×
Dhan31.66%3.2×
Kotak NeoCHEAPEST31.65%3.2×
Paytm Money31.91%3.1×
Pocketful32.05%3.1×
Anand Rathi31.66%3.2×
Bajaj Broking35.00%2.9×
Share India31.79%3.1×

Compare every broker on the SOBHA MTF page.

About SOBHA LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

SOBHA LIMITED (SOBHA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹14,318 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the SOBHA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of SOBHA LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

SOBHA analysis, FAQs

Is SOBHA LIMITED (SOBHA) a good buy?

On the numbers, SOBHA LIMITED (SOBHA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 62.1× earnings, ROE of 4.2%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is SOBHA overvalued or undervalued?

SOBHA trades at 62.1× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the SOBHA share price target for 2031?

SOBHA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,759, with an 80% range of ₹646-₹4,791 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability SOBHA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of SOBHA reaching ₹2,678 (2×) within 5 years is 29%.

What is the bull case for SOBHA?

SOBHA LIMITED is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in SOBHA?

SOBHA's P/E of 62.1x is lower than 20% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. SOBHA's return on equity of 4.2% ranks in the 27th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on SOBHA