SOBHA
Sobha
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Sobha (SOBHA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SOBHA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Sobha (SOBHA) trades at ₹1,418,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100.
On the numbers, Sobha (SOBHA) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100, weighing expensive at 78.3× earnings, ROE of 4.2%, a 25% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SOBHA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is SOBHA overvalued? SOBHA P/E vs its sector
SOBHA's P/E of 78.3× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.21% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
SOBHA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of SOBHA history (-17%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOBHA 2027 | ₹697 | ₹1,114 | ₹1,774 | -21% |
| SOBHA 2028 | ₹448 | ₹872 | ₹1,705 | -39% |
| SOBHA 2029 | ₹299 | ₹688 | ₹1,541 | -52% |
| SOBHA 2030 | ₹209 | ₹542 | ₹1,376 | -62% |
| SOBHA 2031 | ₹147 | ₹423 | ₹1,205 | -70% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SOBHA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SOBHA
- Sobha is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,541.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 78.3× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- Return on equity is a soft 4.2%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 25% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹299.
SOBHA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years SOBHA compounded at -17%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹697–₹1,774, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SOBHA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SOBHA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SOBHA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SOBHA price target & forecast page.
SOBHA Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. SOBHA scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
SOBHA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SOBHA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 32.5% | 3.1× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 32.5% | 3.1× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 32.5% | 3.1× |
Compare every broker on the SOBHA MTF page.
SOBHA vs peers,sector comparison
About Sobha: sector, index & market-cap context
Sobha (SOBHA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹15,150 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the SOBHA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Sobha's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SOBHA analysis, FAQs
Is Sobha (SOBHA) a good buy?
On the numbers, Sobha (SOBHA) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100, weighing expensive at 78.3× earnings, ROE of 4.2%, a 25% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SOBHA overvalued or undervalued?
SOBHA trades at 78.3× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the SOBHA share price target for 2031?
SOBHA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹423, with an 80% range of ₹147–₹1,205 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SOBHA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SOBHA reaching ₹2,838 (2×) within 5 years is 1%.
What is the bull case for SOBHA?
Sobha is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in SOBHA?
A rich 78.3× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 4.2%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 25% chance of finishing above today's price.