Case study

SOMANYCERA

SOMANY CERAMICS LIMITED

Mixed signals1y model +2.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

49Score

SOMANY CERAMICS LIMITED (SOMANYCERA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is SOMANYCERA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

SOMANY CERAMICS LIMITED (SOMANYCERA) trades at ₹496,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100.

On the numbers, SOMANY CERAMICS LIMITED (SOMANYCERA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 24.4× earnings, ROE of 10.4%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

SOMANYCERA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹2,033 Cr
Current price
₹496
P/E ratio
24.4×
P/B ratio
2.42×
Book value
₹205
Dividend yield
1.21%
ROCE
12.8%
ROE
10.4%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How SOMANYCERA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is SOMANYCERA overvalued? SOMANYCERA P/E vs peers

SOMANYCERA trades at 24.4× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

SOMANYCERA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of SOMANYCERA history (-2%/yr drift, 36%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
SOMANYCERA 2027₹317₹510₹822+3%
SOMANYCERA 2028₹270₹525₹1,023+6%
SOMANYCERA 2029₹240₹541₹1,216+9%
SOMANYCERA 2030₹221₹556₹1,402+12%
SOMANYCERA 2031₹203₹573₹1,618+15%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability SOMANYCERA goes up, or doubles?

53%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
57%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
25%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹992 within 5 years

The bull case for SOMANYCERA

  • SOMANYCERA's P/E of 24.4x is lower than 55% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,216.

The bear case & risks

  • SOMANYCERA's return on equity of 10.4% ranks in the 52nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹240.

SOMANYCERA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years SOMANYCERA compounded at -2%/year with annualized volatility of 36%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹317-₹822, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

SOMANYCERA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.9%
80% range₹317-₹822
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)4%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
9.0%
80% range₹240-₹1,216
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)17%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
15.5%
80% range₹203-₹1,618
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)25%

SOMANYCERA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
SOMANYCERA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds SOMANYCERA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the SOMANYCERA price target & forecast page.

SOMANYCERA Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SOMANYCERA scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

SOMANYCERA MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SOMANYCERA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST32.82%3.0×
Groww32.95%3.0×
Dhan50.00%2.0×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money33.01%3.0×
Pocketful33.19%3.0×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST32.82%3.0×
Bajaj Broking45.00%2.2×
Share India32.95%3.0×

Compare every broker on the SOMANYCERA MTF page.

About SOMANY CERAMICS LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

SOMANY CERAMICS LIMITED (SOMANYCERA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,033 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the SOMANYCERA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of SOMANY CERAMICS LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

SOMANYCERA analysis, FAQs

Is SOMANY CERAMICS LIMITED (SOMANYCERA) a good buy?

On the numbers, SOMANY CERAMICS LIMITED (SOMANYCERA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 24.4× earnings, ROE of 10.4%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is SOMANYCERA overvalued or undervalued?

SOMANYCERA trades at 24.4× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the SOMANYCERA share price target for 2031?

SOMANYCERA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹573, with an 80% range of ₹203-₹1,618 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability SOMANYCERA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of SOMANYCERA reaching ₹992 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.

What is the bull case for SOMANYCERA?

SOMANYCERA's P/E of 24.4x is lower than 55% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in SOMANYCERA?

SOMANYCERA's return on equity of 10.4% ranks in the 52nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on SOMANYCERA