SONATSOFTW
Sonata Software
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Sonata Software (SONATSOFTW) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SONATSOFTW a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Sonata Software (SONATSOFTW) trades at ₹297,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100.
On the numbers, Sonata Software (SONATSOFTW) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 16.4× earnings, ROE of 28.2%, a 16% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SONATSOFTW fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is SONATSOFTW overvalued? SONATSOFTW P/E vs its sector
SONATSOFTW's P/E of 16.4× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 1.48% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
SONATSOFTW share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of SONATSOFTW history (-35%/yr drift, 47%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SONATSOFTW 2027 | ₹104 | ₹188 | ₹345 | -37% |
| SONATSOFTW 2028 | ₹53 | ₹119 | ₹276 | -60% |
| SONATSOFTW 2029 | ₹27 | ₹75 | ₹210 | -75% |
| SONATSOFTW 2030 | ₹15 | ₹48 | ₹156 | -84% |
| SONATSOFTW 2031 | ₹8 | ₹31 | ₹114 | -90% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SONATSOFTW goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SONATSOFTW
- A 16.4× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
- High return on equity (28.2%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (30.6%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹210.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 16% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹27.
SONATSOFTW volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years SONATSOFTW compounded at -35%/year with annualized volatility of 47%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹104–₹345, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SONATSOFTW price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SONATSOFTW price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SONATSOFTW hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SONATSOFTW price target & forecast page.
SONATSOFTW Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. SONATSOFTW scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
SONATSOFTW MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SONATSOFTW with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 37.3% | 2.7× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 37.3% | 2.7× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 37.3% | 2.7× |
Compare every broker on the SONATSOFTW MTF page.
SONATSOFTW vs peers,sector comparison
About Sonata Software: sector, index & market-cap context
Sonata Software (SONATSOFTW) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹8,322 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the SONATSOFTW Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Sonata Software's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SONATSOFTW analysis, FAQs
Is Sonata Software (SONATSOFTW) a good buy?
On the numbers, Sonata Software (SONATSOFTW) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 16.4× earnings, ROE of 28.2%, a 16% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SONATSOFTW overvalued or undervalued?
SONATSOFTW trades at 16.4× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the SONATSOFTW share price target for 2031?
SONATSOFTW's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹31, with an 80% range of ₹8–₹114 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SONATSOFTW doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SONATSOFTW reaching ₹595 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for SONATSOFTW?
A 16.4× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. High return on equity (28.2%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (30.6%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in SONATSOFTW?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 16% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.