SONATSOFTW
Sonata Software Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Sonata Software Limited (SONATSOFTW) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SONATSOFTW a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Sonata Software Limited (SONATSOFTW) trades at ₹332,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 67/100.
On the numbers, Sonata Software Limited (SONATSOFTW) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 67/100, weighing fairly valued at 18.3× earnings, ROE of 28.2%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SONATSOFTW fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How SONATSOFTW ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- SONATSOFTW's market cap of 8,919 Cr ranks in the 74th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SONATSOFTW's book value of ₹68 ranks in the 41st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SONATSOFTW's promoter holding of 28.2% ranks in the 7th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SONATSOFTW's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 4.0% ranks in the 33rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SONATSOFTW's 3-year revenue growth of 13.0% ranks in the 58th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SONATSOFTW's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.38x is lower than 44% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is SONATSOFTW overvalued? SONATSOFTW P/E vs peers
SONATSOFTW trades at 18.3× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
SONATSOFTW share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of SONATSOFTW history (18%/yr drift, 46%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SONATSOFTW 2027 | ₹179 | ₹319 | ₹568 | +0% |
| SONATSOFTW 2028 | ₹139 | ₹320 | ₹739 | +1% |
| SONATSOFTW 2029 | ₹116 | ₹322 | ₹890 | +1% |
| SONATSOFTW 2030 | ₹99 | ₹323 | ₹1,056 | +2% |
| SONATSOFTW 2031 | ₹87 | ₹324 | ₹1,206 | +2% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SONATSOFTW goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SONATSOFTW
- SONATSOFTW's P/E of 17.6x is lower than 67% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SONATSOFTW's return on equity of 28.2% ranks in the 93rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SONATSOFTW's return on capital employed of 30.7% ranks in the 93rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SONATSOFTW's dividend yield of 2.5% ranks in the 91st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹890.
The bear case & risks
- High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹116.
SONATSOFTW volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years SONATSOFTW compounded at 18%/year with annualized volatility of 46%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹179-₹568, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SONATSOFTW price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SONATSOFTW price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SONATSOFTW hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SONATSOFTW price target & forecast page.
SONATSOFTW Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SONATSOFTW scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
SONATSOFTW MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SONATSOFTW with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 37.58% | 2.7× |
| Zerodha | 37.63% | 2.7× |
| Groww | 37.64% | 2.7× |
| Dhan | 37.63% | 2.7× |
| Kotak Neo | 37.59% | 2.7× |
| Paytm Money | 37.64% | 2.7× |
| PocketfulCHEAPEST | 37.46% | 2.7× |
| Anand Rathi | 37.63% | 2.7× |
| Bajaj Broking | 38.00% | 2.6× |
| Share India | 37.64% | 2.7× |
Compare every broker on the SONATSOFTW MTF page.
About Sonata Software Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Sonata Software Limited (SONATSOFTW) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹9,323 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the SONATSOFTW Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Sonata Software Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SONATSOFTW analysis, FAQs
Is Sonata Software Limited (SONATSOFTW) a good buy?
On the numbers, Sonata Software Limited (SONATSOFTW) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 67/100, weighing fairly valued at 18.3× earnings, ROE of 28.2%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SONATSOFTW overvalued or undervalued?
SONATSOFTW trades at 18.3× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the SONATSOFTW share price target for 2031?
SONATSOFTW's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹324, with an 80% range of ₹87-₹1,206 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SONATSOFTW doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SONATSOFTW reaching ₹636 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.
What is the bull case for SONATSOFTW?
SONATSOFTW's P/E of 17.6x is lower than 67% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. SONATSOFTW's return on equity of 28.2% ranks in the 93rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. SONATSOFTW's return on capital employed of 30.7% ranks in the 93rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in SONATSOFTW?
High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.