Case study

SOUTHWEST

South West Pinnacle Exploration Ltd.

Worth a closer look1y model -2.2%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

56Score

South West Pinnacle Exploration Ltd. (SOUTHWEST) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is SOUTHWEST a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

South West Pinnacle Exploration Ltd. (SOUTHWEST) trades at ₹232,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 56/100.

On the numbers, South West Pinnacle Exploration Ltd. (SOUTHWEST) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 56/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.0× earnings, ROE of 17.7%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

SOUTHWEST fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹760 Cr
Current price
₹232
P/E ratio
19.0×
P/B ratio
3.40×
Book value
₹68
ROCE
20.0%
ROE
17.7%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How SOUTHWEST ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is SOUTHWEST overvalued? SOUTHWEST P/E vs peers

SOUTHWEST trades at 19.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

SOUTHWEST share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 8.3y of SOUTHWEST history (20%/yr drift, 54%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
SOUTHWEST 2027₹114₹227₹453-2%
SOUTHWEST 2028₹84₹222₹586-4%
SOUTHWEST 2029₹64₹217₹735-6%
SOUTHWEST 2030₹53₹212₹845-9%
SOUTHWEST 2031₹45₹208₹968-11%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability SOUTHWEST goes up, or doubles?

48%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
46%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
25%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹464 within 5 years

The bull case for SOUTHWEST

  • SOUTHWEST's P/E of 19.0x is lower than 65% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • SOUTHWEST's return on equity of 17.7% ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • SOUTHWEST's return on capital employed of 20.0% ranks in the 80th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹735.

The bear case & risks

  • High historical volatility (54%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹64.

SOUTHWEST volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 8.3 years SOUTHWEST compounded at 20%/year with annualized volatility of 54%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹114-₹453, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

SOUTHWEST price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 8.3 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.2%
80% range₹114-₹453
P(price ↑)48%
P(price 2×)9%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
6.5%
80% range₹64-₹735
P(price ↑)47%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
10.5%
80% range₹45-₹968
P(price ↑)46%
P(price 2×)25%

SOUTHWEST price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
SOUTHWEST simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds SOUTHWEST hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the SOUTHWEST price target & forecast page.

SOUTHWEST Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SOUTHWEST scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

SOUTHWEST MTF margin & leverage across 5 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SOUTHWEST with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 5 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Zerodha50.00%2.0×
Groww39.72%2.5×
Dhan50.00%2.0×
Pocketful50.00%2.0×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST39.66%2.5×

Compare every broker on the SOUTHWEST MTF page.

About South West Pinnacle Exploration Ltd.: sector, index & market-cap context

South West Pinnacle Exploration Ltd. (SOUTHWEST) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹760 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the SOUTHWEST Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of South West Pinnacle Exploration Ltd.'s public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

SOUTHWEST analysis, FAQs

Is South West Pinnacle Exploration Ltd. (SOUTHWEST) a good buy?

On the numbers, South West Pinnacle Exploration Ltd. (SOUTHWEST) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 56/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.0× earnings, ROE of 17.7%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is SOUTHWEST overvalued or undervalued?

SOUTHWEST trades at 19.0× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the SOUTHWEST share price target for 2031?

SOUTHWEST's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹208, with an 80% range of ₹45-₹968 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability SOUTHWEST doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of SOUTHWEST reaching ₹464 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.

What is the bull case for SOUTHWEST?

SOUTHWEST's P/E of 19.0x is lower than 65% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. SOUTHWEST's return on equity of 17.7% ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. SOUTHWEST's return on capital employed of 20.0% ranks in the 80th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in SOUTHWEST?

High historical volatility (54%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on SOUTHWEST