Case study

SOUTHWEST

SOUTHWEST

Mixed signals1y model +29.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

SOUTHWEST (SOUTHWEST) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is SOUTHWEST a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100.

On the numbers, SOUTHWEST (SOUTHWEST) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100, weighing a 68% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

SOUTHWEST share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of SOUTHWEST history (40%/yr drift, 55%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
SOUTHWEST 2027₹156₹315₹641+29%
SOUTHWEST 2028₹150₹400₹1,101+64%
SOUTHWEST 2029₹153₹523₹1,726+114%
SOUTHWEST 2030₹162₹669₹2,701+174%
SOUTHWEST 2031₹181₹865₹4,179+254%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability SOUTHWEST goes up, or doubles?

68%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
85%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
68%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹489 within 5 years

The bull case for SOUTHWEST

  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 68% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹315 (+29%).
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,726.

The bear case & risks

  • High historical volatility (55%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹153.

SOUTHWEST volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years SOUTHWEST compounded at 40%/year with annualized volatility of 55%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹156₹641, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

SOUTHWEST price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
29.0%
80% range₹156–₹641
P(price ↑)68%
P(price 2×)21%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
114.0%
80% range₹153–₹1,726
P(price ↑)78%
P(price 2×)53%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
254.0%
80% range₹181–₹4,179
P(price ↑)85%
P(price 2×)68%

SOUTHWEST price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
SOUTHWEST simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds SOUTHWEST hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the SOUTHWEST price target & forecast page.

SOUTHWEST MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SOUTHWEST with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST50.0%2.0×

Compare every broker on the SOUTHWEST MTF page.

SOUTHWEST vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
SOUTHWEST (this stock)
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About SOUTHWEST: sector, index & market-cap context

SOUTHWEST (SOUTHWEST) is an NSE-listed company.

How the SOUTHWEST Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of SOUTHWEST's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

SOUTHWEST analysis, FAQs

Is SOUTHWEST (SOUTHWEST) a good buy?

On the numbers, SOUTHWEST (SOUTHWEST) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100, weighing a 68% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is SOUTHWEST overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation ratios for SOUTHWEST are tracked live on Downstox.

What is the SOUTHWEST share price target for 2031?

SOUTHWEST's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹865, with an 80% range of ₹181₹4,179 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability SOUTHWEST doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of SOUTHWEST reaching ₹489 (2×) within 5 years is 68%.

What is the bull case for SOUTHWEST?

A 10,000-path probability model puts a 68% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹315 (+29%).

What are the risks in SOUTHWEST?

High historical volatility (55%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on SOUTHWEST