Case study

SPAL

S. P. Apparels Limited

Tread carefully1y model -1.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

34Score

S. P. Apparels Limited (SPAL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is SPAL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

S. P. Apparels Limited (SPAL) trades at ₹1,037,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100.

On the numbers, S. P. Apparels Limited (SPAL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100, weighing premium at 25.8× earnings, ROE of 11.2%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

SPAL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹2,606 Cr
Current price
₹1,037
P/E ratio
25.8×
P/B ratio
2.76×
Book value
₹376
Dividend yield
0.19%
ROCE
14.0%
ROE
11.2%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How SPAL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is SPAL overvalued? SPAL P/E vs peers

SPAL trades at 25.8× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

SPAL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of SPAL history (13%/yr drift, 53%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
SPAL 2027₹516₹1,022₹2,025-1%
SPAL 2028₹389₹1,008₹2,612-3%
SPAL 2029₹310₹995₹3,188-4%
SPAL 2030₹253₹981₹3,809-5%
SPAL 2031₹216₹968₹4,338-7%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability SPAL goes up, or doubles?

49%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
48%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
26%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹2,073 within 5 years

The bull case for SPAL

  • S. P. Apparels Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,188.

The bear case & risks

  • SPAL's P/E of 25.8x is lower than 52% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • SPAL's return on equity of 11.2% ranks in the 56th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (53%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹310.

SPAL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years SPAL compounded at 13%/year with annualized volatility of 53%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹516-₹2,025, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

SPAL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.4%
80% range₹516-₹2,025
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)9%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
4.0%
80% range₹310-₹3,188
P(price ↑)48%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
6.6%
80% range₹216-₹4,338
P(price ↑)48%
P(price 2×)26%

SPAL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
SPAL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds SPAL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the SPAL price target & forecast page.

SPAL Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SPAL scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

SPAL MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SPAL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox39.19%2.6×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST39.16%2.6×
Groww39.23%2.5×
DhanCHEAPEST39.16%2.6×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money40.22%2.5×
Pocketful39.17%2.6×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST39.16%2.6×
Share India39.17%2.6×

Compare every broker on the SPAL MTF page.

About S. P. Apparels Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

S. P. Apparels Limited (SPAL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,606 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the SPAL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of S. P. Apparels Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

SPAL analysis, FAQs

Is S. P. Apparels Limited (SPAL) a good buy?

On the numbers, S. P. Apparels Limited (SPAL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100, weighing premium at 25.8× earnings, ROE of 11.2%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is SPAL overvalued or undervalued?

SPAL trades at 25.8× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the SPAL share price target for 2031?

SPAL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹968, with an 80% range of ₹216-₹4,338 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability SPAL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of SPAL reaching ₹2,073 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.

What is the bull case for SPAL?

S. P. Apparels Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in SPAL?

SPAL's P/E of 25.8x is lower than 52% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. SPAL's return on equity of 11.2% ranks in the 56th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (53%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on SPAL