SPAL
S. P. Apparels
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
S. P. Apparels (SPAL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SPAL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100.
On the numbers, S. P. Apparels (SPAL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SPAL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of SPAL history (18%/yr drift, 52%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPAL 2027 | ₹555 | ₹1,077 | ₹2,085 | +5% |
| SPAL 2028 | ₹444 | ₹1,127 | ₹2,881 | +10% |
| SPAL 2029 | ₹371 | ₹1,168 | ₹3,705 | +14% |
| SPAL 2030 | ₹319 | ₹1,223 | ₹4,674 | +19% |
| SPAL 2031 | ₹291 | ₹1,299 | ₹5,682 | +26% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SPAL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SPAL
- S. P. Apparels is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,705.
The bear case & risks
- High historical volatility (52%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹371.
SPAL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years SPAL compounded at 18%/year with annualized volatility of 52%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹555–₹2,085, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SPAL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SPAL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SPAL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SPAL price target & forecast page.
SPAL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SPAL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 38.1% | 2.6× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 38.1% | 2.6× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 38.1% | 2.6× |
Compare every broker on the SPAL MTF page.
SPAL vs peers,sector comparison
About S. P. Apparels: sector, index & market-cap context
S. P. Apparels (SPAL) is an NSE-listed company.
How the SPAL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of S. P. Apparels's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SPAL analysis, FAQs
Is S. P. Apparels (SPAL) a good buy?
On the numbers, S. P. Apparels (SPAL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SPAL overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for SPAL are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the SPAL share price target for 2031?
SPAL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,299, with an 80% range of ₹291–₹5,682 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SPAL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SPAL reaching ₹2,057 (2×) within 5 years is 34%.
What is the bull case for SPAL?
S. P. Apparels is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in SPAL?
High historical volatility (52%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.