SPENCERS
Spencer'S Retail Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Spencer'S Retail Limited (SPENCERS) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SPENCERS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Spencer'S Retail Limited (SPENCERS) trades at ₹33,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 32/100.
On the numbers, Spencer'S Retail Limited (SPENCERS) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 32/100, weighing ROE of 5.0%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SPENCERS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How SPENCERS ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- SPENCERS's market cap of 292 Cr ranks in the 21st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SPENCERS's book value of ₹-101 ranks in the bottom 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SPENCERS's promoter holding of 58.8% ranks in the 49th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SPENCERS's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of -7.0% ranks in the 22nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SPENCERS's 3-year revenue growth of -10.0% ranks in the 10th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for SPENCERS, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.
SPENCERS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 7.4y of SPENCERS history (-25%/yr drift, 48%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPENCERS 2027 | ₹17 | ₹32 | ₹59 | -1% |
| SPENCERS 2028 | ₹13 | ₹32 | ₹75 | -2% |
| SPENCERS 2029 | ₹11 | ₹31 | ₹91 | -3% |
| SPENCERS 2030 | ₹9 | ₹31 | ₹104 | -4% |
| SPENCERS 2031 | ₹8 | ₹31 | ₹119 | -5% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SPENCERS goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SPENCERS
- Spencer'S Retail Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹91.
The bear case & risks
- SPENCERS's return on equity of 5.0% ranks in the 29th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SPENCERS's Piotroski F-Score of 1/8 ranks in the bottom 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹11.
SPENCERS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 7.4 years SPENCERS compounded at -25%/year with annualized volatility of 48%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹17-₹59, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SPENCERS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SPENCERS price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SPENCERS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SPENCERS price target & forecast page.
SPENCERS Piotroski F-Score: 1/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SPENCERS scores 1/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.
SPENCERS MTF margin & leverage across 2 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SPENCERS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 2 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| DhanCHEAPEST | 60.00% | 1.7× |
| Kotak Neo | 100.00% | 1.0× |
Compare every broker on the SPENCERS MTF page.
About Spencer'S Retail Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Spencer'S Retail Limited (SPENCERS) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹299 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the SPENCERS Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Spencer'S Retail Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SPENCERS analysis, FAQs
Is Spencer'S Retail Limited (SPENCERS) a good buy?
On the numbers, Spencer'S Retail Limited (SPENCERS) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 32/100, weighing ROE of 5.0%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SPENCERS overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for SPENCERS are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the SPENCERS share price target for 2031?
SPENCERS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹31, with an 80% range of ₹8-₹119 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SPENCERS doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SPENCERS reaching ₹65 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.
What is the bull case for SPENCERS?
Spencer'S Retail Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in SPENCERS?
SPENCERS's return on equity of 5.0% ranks in the 29th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. SPENCERS's Piotroski F-Score of 1/8 ranks in the bottom 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.