SPLPETRO
Supreme Petrochem
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Supreme Petrochem (SPLPETRO) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SPLPETRO a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Supreme Petrochem (SPLPETRO) trades at ₹775,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 35/100.
On the numbers, Supreme Petrochem (SPLPETRO) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 35/100, weighing expensive at 43.2× earnings, ROE of 14.2%, a 40% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SPLPETRO fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is SPLPETRO overvalued? SPLPETRO P/E vs its sector
SPLPETRO's P/E of 43.2× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 1.36% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
SPLPETRO share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of SPLPETRO history (-3%/yr drift, 38%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPLPETRO 2027 | ₹418 | ₹679 | ₹1,103 | -9% |
| SPLPETRO 2028 | ₹305 | ₹613 | ₹1,221 | -18% |
| SPLPETRO 2029 | ₹236 | ₹557 | ₹1,295 | -26% |
| SPLPETRO 2030 | ₹184 | ₹495 | ₹1,314 | -34% |
| SPLPETRO 2031 | ₹152 | ₹451 | ₹1,366 | -40% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SPLPETRO goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SPLPETRO
- A healthy 14.2% return on equity.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,295.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 43.2× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 40% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹236.
SPLPETRO volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years SPLPETRO compounded at -3%/year with annualized volatility of 38%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹418–₹1,103, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SPLPETRO price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SPLPETRO price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SPLPETRO hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SPLPETRO price target & forecast page.
SPLPETRO Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. SPLPETRO scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
SPLPETRO MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SPLPETRO with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 33.9% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 33.9% | 2.9× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 33.9% | 2.9× |
Compare every broker on the SPLPETRO MTF page.
SPLPETRO vs peers,sector comparison
About Supreme Petrochem: sector, index & market-cap context
Supreme Petrochem (SPLPETRO) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹14,558 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the SPLPETRO Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Supreme Petrochem's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SPLPETRO analysis, FAQs
Is Supreme Petrochem (SPLPETRO) a good buy?
On the numbers, Supreme Petrochem (SPLPETRO) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 35/100, weighing expensive at 43.2× earnings, ROE of 14.2%, a 40% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SPLPETRO overvalued or undervalued?
SPLPETRO trades at 43.2× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the SPLPETRO share price target for 2031?
SPLPETRO's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹451, with an 80% range of ₹152–₹1,366 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SPLPETRO doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SPLPETRO reaching ₹1,501 (2×) within 5 years is 8%.
What is the bull case for SPLPETRO?
A healthy 14.2% return on equity.
What are the risks in SPLPETRO?
A rich 43.2× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 40% chance of finishing above today's price.