SPMLINFRA
SPML Infra Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
SPML Infra Limited (SPMLINFRA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SPMLINFRA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
SPML Infra Limited (SPMLINFRA) trades at ₹195,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100.
On the numbers, SPML Infra Limited (SPMLINFRA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.1× earnings, ROE of 8.7%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SPMLINFRA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How SPMLINFRA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- SPMLINFRA's market cap of 1,612 Cr ranks in the 47th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SPMLINFRA's book value of ₹120 ranks in the 57th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SPMLINFRA's promoter holding of 40.5% ranks in the 17th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SPMLINFRA's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 476.0% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SPMLINFRA's 3-year revenue growth of -1.0% ranks in the 22nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SPMLINFRA's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.38x is lower than 44% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is SPMLINFRA overvalued? SPMLINFRA P/E vs peers
SPMLINFRA trades at 22.1× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
SPMLINFRA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of SPMLINFRA history (10%/yr drift, 53%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPMLINFRA 2027 | ₹95 | ₹189 | ₹374 | -1% |
| SPMLINFRA 2028 | ₹73 | ₹188 | ₹480 | -1% |
| SPMLINFRA 2029 | ₹59 | ₹187 | ₹594 | -2% |
| SPMLINFRA 2030 | ₹50 | ₹186 | ₹693 | -2% |
| SPMLINFRA 2031 | ₹41 | ₹185 | ₹822 | -3% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SPMLINFRA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SPMLINFRA
- SPMLINFRA's P/E of 21.6x is lower than 59% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹594.
The bear case & risks
- SPMLINFRA's return on equity of 8.7% ranks in the 43rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- High historical volatility (53%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹59.
SPMLINFRA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years SPMLINFRA compounded at 10%/year with annualized volatility of 53%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹95-₹374, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SPMLINFRA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SPMLINFRA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SPMLINFRA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SPMLINFRA price target & forecast page.
SPMLINFRA Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SPMLINFRA scores 4/8, mixed financial health.
SPMLINFRA MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SPMLINFRA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 39.17% | 2.6× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 39.14% | 2.6× |
| Groww | 39.36% | 2.5× |
| Dhan | 40.00% | 2.5× |
| Kotak Neo | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Paytm Money | 39.60% | 2.5× |
| Pocketful | 39.96% | 2.5× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 39.14% | 2.6× |
| Share India | 39.33% | 2.5× |
Compare every broker on the SPMLINFRA MTF page.
About SPML Infra Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
SPML Infra Limited (SPMLINFRA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,650 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the SPMLINFRA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of SPML Infra Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SPMLINFRA analysis, FAQs
Is SPML Infra Limited (SPMLINFRA) a good buy?
On the numbers, SPML Infra Limited (SPMLINFRA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.1× earnings, ROE of 8.7%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SPMLINFRA overvalued or undervalued?
SPMLINFRA trades at 22.1× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the SPMLINFRA share price target for 2031?
SPMLINFRA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹185, with an 80% range of ₹41-₹822 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SPMLINFRA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SPMLINFRA reaching ₹380 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.
What is the bull case for SPMLINFRA?
SPMLINFRA's P/E of 21.6x is lower than 59% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in SPMLINFRA?
SPMLINFRA's return on equity of 8.7% ranks in the 43rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (53%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.