SRF
Srf Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Srf Limited (SRF) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SRF a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Srf Limited (SRF) trades at ₹2,625,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100.
On the numbers, Srf Limited (SRF) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100, weighing premium at 34.7× earnings, ROE of 14.3%, a 64% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SRF fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How SRF ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- SRF's market cap of 77,515 Cr ranks in the 94th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SRF's book value of ₹474 ranks in the 89th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SRF's promoter holding of 50.3% ranks in the 31st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SRF's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of -4.0% ranks in the 25th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SRF's 3-year revenue growth of 2.0% ranks in the 27th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SRF's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.36x is lower than 46% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is SRF overvalued? SRF P/E vs peers
SRF trades at 34.7× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
SRF share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of SRF history (22%/yr drift, 30%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SRF 2027 | ₹1,981 | ₹2,903 | ₹4,254 | +11% |
| SRF 2028 | ₹1,872 | ₹3,222 | ₹5,545 | +23% |
| SRF 2029 | ₹1,823 | ₹3,576 | ₹7,014 | +37% |
| SRF 2030 | ₹1,839 | ₹3,969 | ₹8,569 | +52% |
| SRF 2031 | ₹1,864 | ₹4,406 | ₹10,416 | +68% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SRF goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SRF
- SRF's return on equity of 14.3% ranks in the 69th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 64% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹2,903 (+11%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹7,014.
The bear case & risks
- SRF's P/E of 34.6x is lower than 40% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,823.
SRF volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years SRF compounded at 22%/year with annualized volatility of 30%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,981-₹4,254, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SRF price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SRF price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SRF hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SRF price target & forecast page.
SRF Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SRF scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
SRF MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SRF with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 26.32% | 3.8× |
| Zerodha | 25.40% | 3.9× |
| Groww | 25.49% | 3.9× |
| Dhan | 23.00% | 4.3× |
| Kotak NeoCHEAPEST | 22.78% | 4.4× |
| Paytm Money | 23.02% | 4.3× |
| Pocketful | 29.44% | 3.4× |
| Fyers | 30.30% | 3.3× |
| Anand Rathi | 29.79% | 3.4× |
| Bajaj Broking | 23.00% | 4.3× |
| Share India | 29.91% | 3.3× |
Compare every broker on the SRF MTF page.
About Srf Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Srf Limited (SRF) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹77,741 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the SRF Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Srf Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SRF analysis, FAQs
Is Srf Limited (SRF) a good buy?
On the numbers, Srf Limited (SRF) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100, weighing premium at 34.7× earnings, ROE of 14.3%, a 64% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SRF overvalued or undervalued?
SRF trades at 34.7× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the SRF share price target for 2031?
SRF's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹4,406, with an 80% range of ₹1,864-₹10,416 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SRF doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SRF reaching ₹5,230 (2×) within 5 years is 40%.
What is the bull case for SRF?
SRF's return on equity of 14.3% ranks in the 69th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 64% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹2,903 (+11%).
What are the risks in SRF?
SRF's P/E of 34.6x is lower than 40% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.