SRM
SRM
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
SRM (SRM) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SRM a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100.
On the numbers, SRM (SRM) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100, weighing a 78% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SRM share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of SRM history (50%/yr drift, 50%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SRM 2027 | ₹377 | ₹717 | ₹1,357 | +46% |
| SRM 2028 | ₹413 | ₹1,033 | ₹2,612 | +111% |
| SRM 2029 | ₹491 | ₹1,517 | ₹4,596 | +210% |
| SRM 2030 | ₹594 | ₹2,220 | ₹8,018 | +353% |
| SRM 2031 | ₹732 | ₹3,229 | ₹13,756 | +559% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SRM goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SRM
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 78% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹717 (+46%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹4,596.
The bear case & risks
- High historical volatility (50%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹491.
SRM volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years SRM compounded at 50%/year with annualized volatility of 50%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹377–₹1,357, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SRM price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SRM price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SRM hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SRM price target & forecast page.
SRM MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SRM with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 36.9% | 2.7× |
| Dhan | 50.0% | 2.0× |
Compare every broker on the SRM MTF page.
SRM vs peers,sector comparison
About SRM: sector, index & market-cap context
SRM (SRM) is an NSE-listed company.
How the SRM Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of SRM's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SRM analysis, FAQs
Is SRM (SRM) a good buy?
On the numbers, SRM (SRM) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100, weighing a 78% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SRM overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for SRM are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the SRM share price target for 2031?
SRM's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹3,229, with an 80% range of ₹732–₹13,756 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SRM doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SRM reaching ₹980 (2×) within 5 years is 85%.
What is the bull case for SRM?
A 10,000-path probability model puts a 78% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹717 (+46%).
What are the risks in SRM?
High historical volatility (50%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.