STCINDIA
The State Trading Corporation Of India Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
The State Trading Corporation Of India Limited (STCINDIA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is STCINDIA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
The State Trading Corporation Of India Limited (STCINDIA) trades at ₹121,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100.
On the numbers, The State Trading Corporation Of India Limited (STCINDIA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100, weighing fairly valued at 16.3× earnings, ROE of 10.0%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
STCINDIA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How STCINDIA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- STCINDIA's market cap of 712 Cr ranks in the 33rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- STCINDIA's book value of ₹-663 ranks in the bottom 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- STCINDIA's promoter holding of 90.0% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- STCINDIA's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of -7.0% ranks in the 22nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- STCINDIA's 3-year revenue growth of -7.0% ranks in the 13th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for STCINDIA, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.
Is STCINDIA overvalued? STCINDIA P/E vs peers
STCINDIA trades at 16.3× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
STCINDIA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of STCINDIA history (1%/yr drift, 48%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STCINDIA 2027 | ₹64 | ₹119 | ₹221 | -0% |
| STCINDIA 2028 | ₹49 | ₹119 | ₹286 | -0% |
| STCINDIA 2029 | ₹41 | ₹118 | ₹346 | -0% |
| STCINDIA 2030 | ₹35 | ₹118 | ₹404 | -0% |
| STCINDIA 2031 | ₹31 | ₹118 | ₹459 | -0% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability STCINDIA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for STCINDIA
- STCINDIA's P/E of 16.0x is lower than 71% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹346.
The bear case & risks
- STCINDIA's return on equity of 10.0% ranks in the 49th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- STCINDIA's Piotroski F-Score of 2/8 ranks in the 6th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹41.
STCINDIA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years STCINDIA compounded at 1%/year with annualized volatility of 48%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹64-₹221, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
STCINDIA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
STCINDIA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds STCINDIA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the STCINDIA price target & forecast page.
STCINDIA Piotroski F-Score: 2/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. STCINDIA scores 2/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.
STCINDIA MTF margin & leverage across 4 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy STCINDIA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 4 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Dhan | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Kotak Neo | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Pocketful | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 37.43% | 2.7× |
Compare every broker on the STCINDIA MTF page.
About The State Trading Corporation Of India Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
The State Trading Corporation Of India Limited (STCINDIA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹726 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the STCINDIA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of The State Trading Corporation Of India Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
STCINDIA analysis, FAQs
Is The State Trading Corporation Of India Limited (STCINDIA) a good buy?
On the numbers, The State Trading Corporation Of India Limited (STCINDIA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100, weighing fairly valued at 16.3× earnings, ROE of 10.0%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is STCINDIA overvalued or undervalued?
STCINDIA trades at 16.3× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the STCINDIA share price target for 2031?
STCINDIA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹118, with an 80% range of ₹31-₹459 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability STCINDIA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of STCINDIA reaching ₹237 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.
What is the bull case for STCINDIA?
STCINDIA's P/E of 16.0x is lower than 71% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in STCINDIA?
STCINDIA's return on equity of 10.0% ranks in the 49th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. STCINDIA's Piotroski F-Score of 2/8 ranks in the 6th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.