STEL
STEL Holdings Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
STEL Holdings Limited (STEL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is STEL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
STEL Holdings Limited (STEL) trades at ₹553,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100.
On the numbers, STEL Holdings Limited (STEL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 52.0× earnings, ROE of 1.2%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
STEL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How STEL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- STEL's market cap of 1,020 Cr ranks in the 39th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- STEL's book value of ₹872 ranks in the top 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- STEL's promoter holding of 72.0% ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- STEL's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 17.0% ranks in the 52nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- STEL's 3-year revenue growth of 17.0% ranks in the 67th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for STEL, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.
Is STEL overvalued? STEL P/E vs peers
STEL trades at 52.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
STEL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of STEL history (30%/yr drift, 46%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STEL 2027 | ₹322 | ₹569 | ₹1,006 | +3% |
| STEL 2028 | ₹259 | ₹586 | ₹1,328 | +6% |
| STEL 2029 | ₹220 | ₹604 | ₹1,658 | +9% |
| STEL 2030 | ₹194 | ₹622 | ₹1,997 | +12% |
| STEL 2031 | ₹177 | ₹640 | ₹2,323 | +16% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability STEL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for STEL
- Low price-to-book of 0.63×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,658.
The bear case & risks
- STEL's P/E of 52.0x is lower than 25% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- STEL's return on equity of 1.2% ranks in the 16th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹220.
STEL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years STEL compounded at 30%/year with annualized volatility of 46%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹322-₹1,006, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
STEL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
STEL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds STEL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the STEL price target & forecast page.
STEL Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. STEL scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
STEL MTF margin & leverage across 2 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy STEL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 2 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Pocketful | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 37.15% | 2.7× |
Compare every broker on the STEL MTF page.
About STEL Holdings Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
STEL Holdings Limited (STEL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,020 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the STEL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of STEL Holdings Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
STEL analysis, FAQs
Is STEL Holdings Limited (STEL) a good buy?
On the numbers, STEL Holdings Limited (STEL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 52.0× earnings, ROE of 1.2%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is STEL overvalued or undervalued?
STEL trades at 52.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the STEL share price target for 2031?
STEL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹640, with an 80% range of ₹177-₹2,323 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability STEL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of STEL reaching ₹1,106 (2×) within 5 years is 29%.
What is the bull case for STEL?
Low price-to-book of 0.63×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in STEL?
STEL's P/E of 52.0x is lower than 25% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. STEL's return on equity of 1.2% ranks in the 16th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.