Case study

SULA

SULA VINEYARDS LIMITED

Tread carefully1y model +2.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

33Score

SULA VINEYARDS LIMITED (SULA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is SULA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

SULA VINEYARDS LIMITED (SULA) trades at ₹168,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.

On the numbers, SULA VINEYARDS LIMITED (SULA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 52.3× earnings, ROE of 4.6%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

SULA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,415 Cr
Current price
₹168
P/E ratio
52.3×
P/B ratio
2.41×
Book value
₹70
Dividend yield
1.19%
ROCE
7.5%
ROE
4.6%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How SULA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is SULA overvalued? SULA P/E vs peers

SULA trades at 52.3× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

SULA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 3.6y of SULA history (-21%/yr drift, 32%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
SULA 2027₹108₹162₹244+2%
SULA 2028₹93₹166₹296+5%
SULA 2029₹84₹170₹342+7%
SULA 2030₹78₹173₹385+9%
SULA 2031₹72₹177₹438+12%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability SULA goes up, or doubles?

53%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
56%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
21%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹317 within 5 years

The bull case for SULA

  • SULA VINEYARDS LIMITED is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹342.

The bear case & risks

  • SULA's P/E of 51.7x is lower than 25% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • SULA's return on equity of 4.6% ranks in the 28th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹84.

SULA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 3.6 years SULA compounded at -21%/year with annualized volatility of 32%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹108-₹244, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

SULA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 3.6 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.3%
80% range₹108-₹244
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
6.9%
80% range₹84-₹342
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)13%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
11.8%
80% range₹72-₹438
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)21%

SULA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
SULA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds SULA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the SULA price target & forecast page.

SULA Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SULA scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

SULA MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SULA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Zerodha30.96%3.2×
Groww30.76%3.3×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money47.76%2.1×
PocketfulCHEAPEST30.50%3.3×
Anand Rathi30.96%3.2×
Bajaj Broking35.00%2.9×
Share India30.64%3.3×

Compare every broker on the SULA MTF page.

About SULA VINEYARDS LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

SULA VINEYARDS LIMITED (SULA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,415 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the SULA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of SULA VINEYARDS LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

SULA analysis, FAQs

Is SULA VINEYARDS LIMITED (SULA) a good buy?

On the numbers, SULA VINEYARDS LIMITED (SULA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 52.3× earnings, ROE of 4.6%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is SULA overvalued or undervalued?

SULA trades at 52.3× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the SULA share price target for 2031?

SULA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹177, with an 80% range of ₹72-₹438 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability SULA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of SULA reaching ₹317 (2×) within 5 years is 21%.

What is the bull case for SULA?

SULA VINEYARDS LIMITED is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in SULA?

SULA's P/E of 51.7x is lower than 25% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. SULA's return on equity of 4.6% ranks in the 28th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on SULA