SUMICHEM
Sumitomo Chemical India
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Sumitomo Chemical India (SUMICHEM) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SUMICHEM a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Sumitomo Chemical India (SUMICHEM) trades at ₹439,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100.
On the numbers, Sumitomo Chemical India (SUMICHEM) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing premium at 39.5× earnings, ROE of 17.6%, a 39% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SUMICHEM fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is SUMICHEM overvalued? SUMICHEM P/E vs its sector
SUMICHEM's P/E of 39.5× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.30% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
SUMICHEM share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of SUMICHEM history (-4%/yr drift, 36%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUMICHEM 2027 | ₹258 | ₹408 | ₹646 | -10% |
| SUMICHEM 2028 | ₹193 | ₹369 | ₹705 | -18% |
| SUMICHEM 2029 | ₹152 | ₹333 | ₹737 | -27% |
| SUMICHEM 2030 | ₹118 | ₹304 | ₹745 | -33% |
| SUMICHEM 2031 | ₹98 | ₹271 | ₹752 | -40% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SUMICHEM goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SUMICHEM
- A healthy 17.6% return on equity.
- Strong ROCE (23.4%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹737.
The bear case & risks
- At 39.5× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 39% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹152.
SUMICHEM volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years SUMICHEM compounded at -4%/year with annualized volatility of 36%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹258–₹646, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SUMICHEM price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SUMICHEM price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SUMICHEM hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SUMICHEM price target & forecast page.
SUMICHEM Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. SUMICHEM scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
SUMICHEM MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SUMICHEM with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 31.2% | 3.2× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 31.2% | 3.2× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 31.2% | 3.2× |
Compare every broker on the SUMICHEM MTF page.
SUMICHEM vs peers,sector comparison
About Sumitomo Chemical India: sector, index & market-cap context
Sumitomo Chemical India (SUMICHEM) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹21,920 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the SUMICHEM Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Sumitomo Chemical India's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SUMICHEM analysis, FAQs
Is Sumitomo Chemical India (SUMICHEM) a good buy?
On the numbers, Sumitomo Chemical India (SUMICHEM) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing premium at 39.5× earnings, ROE of 17.6%, a 39% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SUMICHEM overvalued or undervalued?
SUMICHEM trades at 39.5× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the SUMICHEM share price target for 2031?
SUMICHEM's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹271, with an 80% range of ₹98–₹752 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SUMICHEM doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SUMICHEM reaching ₹905 (2×) within 5 years is 7%.
What is the bull case for SUMICHEM?
A healthy 17.6% return on equity. Strong ROCE (23.4%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in SUMICHEM?
At 39.5× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 39% chance of finishing above today's price.