SUNDARMFIN
Sundaram Finance
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Sundaram Finance (SUNDARMFIN) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SUNDARMFIN a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Sundaram Finance (SUNDARMFIN) trades at ₹4,539,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100.
On the numbers, Sundaram Finance (SUNDARMFIN) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing fairly valued at 23.9× earnings, ROE of 15.1%, a 39% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SUNDARMFIN fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is SUNDARMFIN overvalued? SUNDARMFIN P/E vs its sector
SUNDARMFIN's P/E of 23.9× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.88% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
SUNDARMFIN share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of SUNDARMFIN history (-3%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUNDARMFIN 2027 | ₹2,529 | ₹4,058 | ₹6,497 | -9% |
| SUNDARMFIN 2028 | ₹1,878 | ₹3,646 | ₹7,101 | -19% |
| SUNDARMFIN 2029 | ₹1,451 | ₹3,343 | ₹7,392 | -25% |
| SUNDARMFIN 2030 | ₹1,166 | ₹3,033 | ₹7,646 | -32% |
| SUNDARMFIN 2031 | ₹948 | ₹2,753 | ₹7,810 | -38% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SUNDARMFIN goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SUNDARMFIN
- A 23.9× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
- A healthy 15.1% return on equity.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹7,392.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 39% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,451.
SUNDARMFIN volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years SUNDARMFIN compounded at -3%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹2,529–₹6,497, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SUNDARMFIN price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SUNDARMFIN price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SUNDARMFIN hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SUNDARMFIN price target & forecast page.
SUNDARMFIN Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. SUNDARMFIN scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
SUNDARMFIN MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SUNDARMFIN with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 31.4% | 3.2× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 31.4% | 3.2× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 31.4% | 3.2× |
Compare every broker on the SUNDARMFIN MTF page.
Which ace investors hold SUNDARMFIN?
Held by 1 tracked superstar investor (from public NSE/BSE disclosures):
SUNDARMFIN vs peers,sector comparison
About Sundaram Finance: sector, index & market-cap context
Sundaram Finance (SUNDARMFIN) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹50,468 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.
How the SUNDARMFIN Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Sundaram Finance's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SUNDARMFIN analysis, FAQs
Is Sundaram Finance (SUNDARMFIN) a good buy?
On the numbers, Sundaram Finance (SUNDARMFIN) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing fairly valued at 23.9× earnings, ROE of 15.1%, a 39% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SUNDARMFIN overvalued or undervalued?
SUNDARMFIN trades at 23.9× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the SUNDARMFIN share price target for 2031?
SUNDARMFIN's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2,753, with an 80% range of ₹948–₹7,810 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SUNDARMFIN doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SUNDARMFIN reaching ₹8,951 (2×) within 5 years is 7%.
What is the bull case for SUNDARMFIN?
A 23.9× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. A healthy 15.1% return on equity.
What are the risks in SUNDARMFIN?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 39% chance of finishing above today's price.