Case study

SUNFLAG

Sunflag Iron & Steel Company Ltd

Tread carefully1y model +2.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

34Score

Sunflag Iron & Steel Company Ltd (SUNFLAG) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is SUNFLAG a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Sunflag Iron & Steel Company Ltd (SUNFLAG) trades at ₹389,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100.

On the numbers, Sunflag Iron & Steel Company Ltd (SUNFLAG) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100, weighing premium at 33.6× earnings, ROE of 2.4%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

SUNFLAG fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹7,006 Cr
Current price
₹389
P/E ratio
33.6×
P/B ratio
0.79×
Book value
₹492
Dividend yield
0.19%
ROCE
4.1%
ROE
2.4%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How SUNFLAG ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is SUNFLAG overvalued? SUNFLAG P/E vs peers

SUNFLAG trades at 33.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

SUNFLAG share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of SUNFLAG history (26%/yr drift, 46%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
SUNFLAG 2027₹221₹399₹721+2%
SUNFLAG 2028₹179₹408₹933+5%
SUNFLAG 2029₹154₹418₹1,134+7%
SUNFLAG 2030₹133₹428₹1,384+10%
SUNFLAG 2031₹118₹439₹1,638+13%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability SUNFLAG goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
55%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
28%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹779 within 5 years

The bull case for SUNFLAG

  • Low price-to-book of 0.79×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,134.

The bear case & risks

  • SUNFLAG's P/E of 33.7x is lower than 41% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • SUNFLAG's return on equity of 2.4% ranks in the 21st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹154.

SUNFLAG volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years SUNFLAG compounded at 26%/year with annualized volatility of 46%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹221-₹721, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

SUNFLAG price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.4%
80% range₹221-₹721
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
7.4%
80% range₹154-₹1,134
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
12.7%
80% range₹118-₹1,638
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)28%

SUNFLAG price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
SUNFLAG simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds SUNFLAG hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the SUNFLAG price target & forecast page.

SUNFLAG Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SUNFLAG scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

SUNFLAG MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SUNFLAG with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST36.86%2.7×
Groww37.03%2.7×
DhanCHEAPEST36.86%2.7×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money100.00%1.0×
Pocketful37.37%2.7×
Anand Rathi100.00%1.0×
Bajaj Broking45.00%2.2×
Share India36.98%2.7×

Compare every broker on the SUNFLAG MTF page.

About Sunflag Iron & Steel Company Ltd: sector, index & market-cap context

Sunflag Iron & Steel Company Ltd (SUNFLAG) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹7,006 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the SUNFLAG Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Sunflag Iron & Steel Company Ltd's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

SUNFLAG analysis, FAQs

Is Sunflag Iron & Steel Company Ltd (SUNFLAG) a good buy?

On the numbers, Sunflag Iron & Steel Company Ltd (SUNFLAG) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100, weighing premium at 33.6× earnings, ROE of 2.4%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is SUNFLAG overvalued or undervalued?

SUNFLAG trades at 33.6× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the SUNFLAG share price target for 2031?

SUNFLAG's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹439, with an 80% range of ₹118-₹1,638 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability SUNFLAG doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of SUNFLAG reaching ₹779 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.

What is the bull case for SUNFLAG?

Low price-to-book of 0.79×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in SUNFLAG?

SUNFLAG's P/E of 33.7x is lower than 41% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. SUNFLAG's return on equity of 2.4% ranks in the 21st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on SUNFLAG