SUPREMEIND
Supreme Industries
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Supreme Industries (SUPREMEIND) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SUPREMEIND a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Supreme Industries (SUPREMEIND) trades at ₹3,588,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.
On the numbers, Supreme Industries (SUPREMEIND) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing expensive at 48.8× earnings, ROE of 15.8%, a 17% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SUPREMEIND fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is SUPREMEIND overvalued? SUPREMEIND P/E vs its sector
SUPREMEIND's P/E of 48.8× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 1.00% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
SUPREMEIND share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of SUPREMEIND history (-27%/yr drift, 32%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUPREMEIND 2027 | ₹1,699 | ₹2,571 | ₹3,881 | -27% |
| SUPREMEIND 2028 | ₹1,045 | ₹1,873 | ₹3,302 | -47% |
| SUPREMEIND 2029 | ₹673 | ₹1,351 | ₹2,753 | -62% |
| SUPREMEIND 2030 | ₹438 | ₹975 | ₹2,232 | -72% |
| SUPREMEIND 2031 | ₹289 | ₹720 | ₹1,790 | -80% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SUPREMEIND goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SUPREMEIND
- A healthy 15.8% return on equity.
- Strong ROCE (20.7%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,753.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 48.8× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 17% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹673.
SUPREMEIND volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years SUPREMEIND compounded at -27%/year with annualized volatility of 32%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,699–₹3,881, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SUPREMEIND price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SUPREMEIND price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SUPREMEIND hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SUPREMEIND price target & forecast page.
SUPREMEIND Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. SUPREMEIND scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
SUPREMEIND MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SUPREMEIND with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 29.5% | 3.4× |
| Zerodha | 25.1% | 4.0× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 24.0% | 4.2× |
Compare every broker on the SUPREMEIND MTF page.
SUPREMEIND vs peers,sector comparison
About Supreme Industries: sector, index & market-cap context
Supreme Industries (SUPREMEIND) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹45,521 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.
How the SUPREMEIND Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Supreme Industries's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SUPREMEIND analysis, FAQs
Is Supreme Industries (SUPREMEIND) a good buy?
On the numbers, Supreme Industries (SUPREMEIND) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing expensive at 48.8× earnings, ROE of 15.8%, a 17% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SUPREMEIND overvalued or undervalued?
SUPREMEIND trades at 48.8× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the SUPREMEIND share price target for 2031?
SUPREMEIND's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹720, with an 80% range of ₹289–₹1,790 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SUPREMEIND doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SUPREMEIND reaching ₹7,051 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for SUPREMEIND?
A healthy 15.8% return on equity. Strong ROCE (20.7%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in SUPREMEIND?
A rich 48.8× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 17% chance of finishing above today's price.