Case study

SUPREMEIND

Supreme Industries Limited

Mixed signals1y model +7.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

45Score

Supreme Industries Limited (SUPREMEIND) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is SUPREMEIND a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Supreme Industries Limited (SUPREMEIND) trades at ₹3,477,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100.

On the numbers, Supreme Industries Limited (SUPREMEIND) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing expensive at 42.8× earnings, ROE of 15.8%, a 60% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

SUPREMEIND fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹44,200 Cr
Current price
₹3,477
P/E ratio
42.8×
P/B ratio
7.15×
Book value
₹486
Dividend yield
1.04%
ROCE
20.7%
ROE
15.8%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How SUPREMEIND ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is SUPREMEIND overvalued? SUPREMEIND P/E vs peers

SUPREMEIND trades at 42.8× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

SUPREMEIND share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of SUPREMEIND history (13%/yr drift, 32%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
SUPREMEIND 2027₹2,482₹3,715₹5,560+8%
SUPREMEIND 2028₹2,262₹4,010₹7,109+16%
SUPREMEIND 2029₹2,139₹4,328₹8,757+26%
SUPREMEIND 2030₹2,077₹4,671₹10,503+36%
SUPREMEIND 2031₹2,032₹5,042₹12,510+46%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability SUPREMEIND goes up, or doubles?

60%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
70%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
33%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹6,884 within 5 years

The bull case for SUPREMEIND

  • SUPREMEIND's return on equity of 15.8% ranks in the 74th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • SUPREMEIND's return on capital employed of 20.7% ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹8,757.

The bear case & risks

  • SUPREMEIND's P/E of 42.4x is lower than 31% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹2,139.

SUPREMEIND volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years SUPREMEIND compounded at 13%/year with annualized volatility of 32%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹2,482-₹5,560, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

SUPREMEIND price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
7.9%
80% range₹2,482-₹5,560
P(price ↑)60%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
25.7%
80% range₹2,139-₹8,757
P(price ↑)66%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
46.5%
80% range₹2,032-₹12,510
P(price ↑)70%
P(price 2×)33%

SUPREMEIND price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
SUPREMEIND simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds SUPREMEIND hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the SUPREMEIND price target & forecast page.

SUPREMEIND Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SUPREMEIND scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

SUPREMEIND MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SUPREMEIND with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox26.14%3.8×
Zerodha25.30%4.0×
Groww25.30%4.0×
Dhan24.00%4.2×
Kotak Neo25.00%4.0×
Paytm MoneyCHEAPEST22.78%4.4×
Pocketful29.77%3.4×
Fyers30.30%3.3×
Anand Rathi29.62%3.4×
Bajaj Broking25.00%4.0×
Share India29.72%3.4×

Compare every broker on the SUPREMEIND MTF page.

About Supreme Industries Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Supreme Industries Limited (SUPREMEIND) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹44,200 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the SUPREMEIND Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Supreme Industries Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

SUPREMEIND analysis, FAQs

Is Supreme Industries Limited (SUPREMEIND) a good buy?

On the numbers, Supreme Industries Limited (SUPREMEIND) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing expensive at 42.8× earnings, ROE of 15.8%, a 60% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is SUPREMEIND overvalued or undervalued?

SUPREMEIND trades at 42.8× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the SUPREMEIND share price target for 2031?

SUPREMEIND's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹5,042, with an 80% range of ₹2,032-₹12,510 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability SUPREMEIND doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of SUPREMEIND reaching ₹6,884 (2×) within 5 years is 33%.

What is the bull case for SUPREMEIND?

SUPREMEIND's return on equity of 15.8% ranks in the 74th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. SUPREMEIND's return on capital employed of 20.7% ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in SUPREMEIND?

SUPREMEIND's P/E of 42.4x is lower than 31% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on SUPREMEIND