Case study

SURAJEST

Suraj Estate Developers Limited

Mixed signals1y model -0.2%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

52Score

Suraj Estate Developers Limited (SURAJEST) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is SURAJEST a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Suraj Estate Developers Limited (SURAJEST) trades at ₹204,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100.

On the numbers, Suraj Estate Developers Limited (SURAJEST) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing inexpensive at 10.8× earnings, ROE of 9.5%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

SURAJEST fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹977 Cr
Current price
₹204
P/E ratio
10.8×
P/B ratio
0.98×
Book value
₹208
ROCE
14.5%
ROE
9.5%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How SURAJEST ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is SURAJEST overvalued? SURAJEST P/E vs peers

SURAJEST trades at 10.8× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

SURAJEST share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.6y of SURAJEST history (-20%/yr drift, 46%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
SURAJEST 2027₹112₹201₹362-0%
SURAJEST 2028₹88₹201₹460-0%
SURAJEST 2029₹73₹201₹550-0%
SURAJEST 2030₹62₹200₹644-1%
SURAJEST 2031₹54₹200₹747-1%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability SURAJEST goes up, or doubles?

50%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
50%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
24%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹403 within 5 years

The bull case for SURAJEST

  • SURAJEST's P/E of 10.7x is lower than 85% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Low price-to-book of 0.98×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹550.

The bear case & risks

  • SURAJEST's return on equity of 9.5% ranks in the 46th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹73.

SURAJEST volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.6 years SURAJEST compounded at -20%/year with annualized volatility of 46%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹112-₹362, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

SURAJEST price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.6 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.2%
80% range₹112-₹362
P(price ↑)50%
P(price 2×)6%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
0.5%
80% range₹73-₹550
P(price ↑)50%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
0.8%
80% range₹54-₹747
P(price ↑)50%
P(price 2×)24%

SURAJEST price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
SURAJEST simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds SURAJEST hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the SURAJEST price target & forecast page.

SURAJEST Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SURAJEST scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

SURAJEST MTF margin & leverage across 4 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SURAJEST with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 4 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Pocketful35.96%2.8×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST35.41%2.8×

Compare every broker on the SURAJEST MTF page.

About Suraj Estate Developers Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Suraj Estate Developers Limited (SURAJEST) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹977 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the SURAJEST Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Suraj Estate Developers Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

SURAJEST analysis, FAQs

Is Suraj Estate Developers Limited (SURAJEST) a good buy?

On the numbers, Suraj Estate Developers Limited (SURAJEST) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing inexpensive at 10.8× earnings, ROE of 9.5%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is SURAJEST overvalued or undervalued?

SURAJEST trades at 10.8× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the SURAJEST share price target for 2031?

SURAJEST's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹200, with an 80% range of ₹54-₹747 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability SURAJEST doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of SURAJEST reaching ₹403 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.

What is the bull case for SURAJEST?

SURAJEST's P/E of 10.7x is lower than 85% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 0.98×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in SURAJEST?

SURAJEST's return on equity of 9.5% ranks in the 46th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on SURAJEST