Case study

SURYODAY

Suryoday Small Finance Bank Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +2.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

57Score

Suryoday Small Finance Bank Limited (SURYODAY) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is SURYODAY a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Suryoday Small Finance Bank Limited (SURYODAY) trades at ₹163,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100.

On the numbers, Suryoday Small Finance Bank Limited (SURYODAY) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing inexpensive at 9.0× earnings, ROE of 7.6%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

SURYODAY fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,728 Cr
Current price
₹163
P/E ratio
9.0×
P/B ratio
0.83×
Book value
₹196
Dividend yield
0.92%
ROCE
7.3%
ROE
7.6%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How SURYODAY ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for SURYODAY, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is SURYODAY overvalued? SURYODAY P/E vs peers

SURYODAY trades at 9.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

SURYODAY share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 5.3y of SURYODAY history (-10%/yr drift, 42%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
SURYODAY 2027₹97₹165₹283+2%
SURYODAY 2028₹80₹169₹353+4%
SURYODAY 2029₹68₹172₹433+6%
SURYODAY 2030₹59₹175₹522+8%
SURYODAY 2031₹52₹179₹620+10%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability SURYODAY goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
54%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
27%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹324 within 5 years

The bull case for SURYODAY

  • SURYODAY's P/E of 9.0x is lower than 88% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Low price-to-book of 0.83×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹433.

The bear case & risks

  • SURYODAY's return on equity of 7.6% ranks in the 38th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹68.

SURYODAY volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 5.3 years SURYODAY compounded at -10%/year with annualized volatility of 42%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹97-₹283, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

SURYODAY price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 5.3 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.0%
80% range₹97-₹283
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)5%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
6.1%
80% range₹68-₹433
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
10.4%
80% range₹52-₹620
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)27%

SURYODAY price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
SURYODAY simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds SURYODAY hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the SURYODAY price target & forecast page.

SURYODAY Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SURYODAY scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

SURYODAY MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SURYODAY with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.17%2.8×
Zerodha35.12%2.8×
Groww60.00%1.7×
Dhan35.12%2.8×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money38.17%2.6×
PocketfulCHEAPEST34.30%2.9×
Anand Rathi35.12%2.8×
Bajaj Broking50.00%2.0×
Share India35.31%2.8×

Compare every broker on the SURYODAY MTF page.

About Suryoday Small Finance Bank Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Suryoday Small Finance Bank Limited (SURYODAY) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,728 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the SURYODAY Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Suryoday Small Finance Bank Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

SURYODAY analysis, FAQs

Is Suryoday Small Finance Bank Limited (SURYODAY) a good buy?

On the numbers, Suryoday Small Finance Bank Limited (SURYODAY) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing inexpensive at 9.0× earnings, ROE of 7.6%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is SURYODAY overvalued or undervalued?

SURYODAY trades at 9.0× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the SURYODAY share price target for 2031?

SURYODAY's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹179, with an 80% range of ₹52-₹620 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability SURYODAY doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of SURYODAY reaching ₹324 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.

What is the bull case for SURYODAY?

SURYODAY's P/E of 9.0x is lower than 88% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 0.83×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in SURYODAY?

SURYODAY's return on equity of 7.6% ranks in the 38th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on SURYODAY