Case study

SWANCORP

Swan Corp Limited

Tread carefully1y model +2.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

34Score

Swan Corp Limited (SWANCORP) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is SWANCORP a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Swan Corp Limited (SWANCORP) trades at ₹308,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100.

On the numbers, Swan Corp Limited (SWANCORP) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100, weighing premium at 35.2× earnings, ROE of 3.7%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

SWANCORP fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹9,656 Cr
Current price
₹308
P/E ratio
35.2×
P/B ratio
1.28×
Book value
₹240
Dividend yield
0.05%
ROCE
3.9%
ROE
3.7%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How SWANCORP ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is SWANCORP overvalued? SWANCORP P/E vs peers

SWANCORP trades at 35.2× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

SWANCORP share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of SWANCORP history (16%/yr drift, 45%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
SWANCORP 2027₹176₹315₹563+2%
SWANCORP 2028₹140₹322₹739+5%
SWANCORP 2029₹119₹330₹910+7%
SWANCORP 2030₹103₹337₹1,107+9%
SWANCORP 2031₹94₹345₹1,260+12%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability SWANCORP goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
55%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
28%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹616 within 5 years

The bull case for SWANCORP

  • Low price-to-book of 1.28×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹910.

The bear case & risks

  • SWANCORP's P/E of 35.2x is lower than 39% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • SWANCORP's return on equity of 3.7% ranks in the 25th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (45%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹119.

SWANCORP volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years SWANCORP compounded at 16%/year with annualized volatility of 45%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹176-₹563, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

SWANCORP price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.3%
80% range₹176-₹563
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
7.0%
80% range₹119-₹910
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
12.0%
80% range₹94-₹1,260
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)28%

SWANCORP price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
SWANCORP simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds SWANCORP hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the SWANCORP price target & forecast page.

SWANCORP Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SWANCORP scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

SWANCORP MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SWANCORP with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox34.55%2.9×
Zerodha34.51%2.9×
Groww34.72%2.9×
Dhan35.00%2.9×
Kotak NeoCHEAPEST34.48%2.9×
Paytm Money37.68%2.7×
Pocketful35.26%2.8×
Anand Rathi34.51%2.9×
Share India34.68%2.9×

Compare every broker on the SWANCORP MTF page.

About Swan Corp Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Swan Corp Limited (SWANCORP) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹9,656 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the SWANCORP Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Swan Corp Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

SWANCORP analysis, FAQs

Is Swan Corp Limited (SWANCORP) a good buy?

On the numbers, Swan Corp Limited (SWANCORP) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100, weighing premium at 35.2× earnings, ROE of 3.7%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is SWANCORP overvalued or undervalued?

SWANCORP trades at 35.2× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the SWANCORP share price target for 2031?

SWANCORP's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹345, with an 80% range of ₹94-₹1,260 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability SWANCORP doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of SWANCORP reaching ₹616 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.

What is the bull case for SWANCORP?

Low price-to-book of 1.28×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in SWANCORP?

SWANCORP's P/E of 35.2x is lower than 39% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. SWANCORP's return on equity of 3.7% ranks in the 25th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (45%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

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