SWELECTES
Swelect Energy Systems Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Swelect Energy Systems Limited (SWELECTES) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SWELECTES a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Swelect Energy Systems Limited (SWELECTES) trades at ₹671,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100.
On the numbers, Swelect Energy Systems Limited (SWELECTES) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing fairly valued at 21.4× earnings, ROE of 5.3%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SWELECTES fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How SWELECTES ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- SWELECTES's market cap of 1,017 Cr ranks in the 39th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SWELECTES's book value of ₹608 ranks in the 92nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SWELECTES's promoter holding of 56.4% ranks in the 44th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SWELECTES's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 206.0% ranks in the top 2% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SWELECTES's 3-year revenue growth of 39.0% ranks in the 90th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SWELECTES's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.87x is lower than 18% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is SWELECTES overvalued? SWELECTES P/E vs peers
SWELECTES trades at 21.4× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
SWELECTES share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of SWELECTES history (10%/yr drift, 52%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SWELECTES 2027 | ₹337 | ₹662 | ₹1,302 | -1% |
| SWELECTES 2028 | ₹250 | ₹653 | ₹1,709 | -3% |
| SWELECTES 2029 | ₹202 | ₹645 | ₹2,054 | -4% |
| SWELECTES 2030 | ₹167 | ₹637 | ₹2,433 | -5% |
| SWELECTES 2031 | ₹141 | ₹628 | ₹2,800 | -6% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SWELECTES goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SWELECTES
- SWELECTES's P/E of 21.4x is lower than 60% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Low price-to-book of 1.10×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,054.
The bear case & risks
- SWELECTES's return on equity of 5.3% ranks in the 31st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- High historical volatility (52%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹202.
SWELECTES volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years SWELECTES compounded at 10%/year with annualized volatility of 52%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹337-₹1,302, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SWELECTES price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SWELECTES price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SWELECTES hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SWELECTES price target & forecast page.
SWELECTES Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SWELECTES scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
SWELECTES MTF margin & leverage across 5 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SWELECTES with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 5 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Zerodha | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Dhan | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Kotak Neo | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Pocketful | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 37.17% | 2.7× |
Compare every broker on the SWELECTES MTF page.
About Swelect Energy Systems Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Swelect Energy Systems Limited (SWELECTES) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,017 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the SWELECTES Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Swelect Energy Systems Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SWELECTES analysis, FAQs
Is Swelect Energy Systems Limited (SWELECTES) a good buy?
On the numbers, Swelect Energy Systems Limited (SWELECTES) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing fairly valued at 21.4× earnings, ROE of 5.3%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SWELECTES overvalued or undervalued?
SWELECTES trades at 21.4× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the SWELECTES share price target for 2031?
SWELECTES's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹628, with an 80% range of ₹141-₹2,800 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SWELECTES doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SWELECTES reaching ₹1,341 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.
What is the bull case for SWELECTES?
SWELECTES's P/E of 21.4x is lower than 60% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 1.10×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in SWELECTES?
SWELECTES's return on equity of 5.3% ranks in the 31st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (52%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.