Case study

SWIGGY

SWIGGY LIMITED

High-risk on the numbers1y model -38.1%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

SWIGGY LIMITED (SWIGGY) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is SWIGGY a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

SWIGGY LIMITED (SWIGGY) trades at ₹255,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 19/100.

On the numbers, SWIGGY LIMITED (SWIGGY) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 19/100, weighing expensive at 66.4× earnings, ROE of -29.0%, a 15% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

SWIGGY fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹70,250 Cr
Current price
₹255
P/E ratio
66.4×
P/B ratio
3.84×
Book value
₹66
ROCE
-24.1%
ROE
-29.0%
Piotroski F-Score
1/9

Is SWIGGY overvalued? SWIGGY P/E vs its sector

SWIGGY's P/E of 66.4× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.

SWIGGY P/E
66.4×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
Peer median yield
1.66%

SWIGGY share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.6y of SWIGGY history (-37%/yr drift, 45%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
SWIGGY 2027₹89₹157₹282-38%
SWIGGY 2028₹44₹98₹221-61%
SWIGGY 2029₹23₹61₹166-76%
SWIGGY 2030₹12₹38₹121-85%
SWIGGY 2031₹7₹24₹88-91%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability SWIGGY goes up, or doubles?

15%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
1%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
0%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹508 within 5 years

The bull case for SWIGGY

  • SWIGGY LIMITED is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹166.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 66.4× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • A low Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 15% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • High historical volatility (45%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹23.

SWIGGY volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 1.6 years SWIGGY compounded at -37%/year with annualized volatility of 45%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹89₹282, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

SWIGGY price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 1.6 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
38.1%
80% range₹89–₹282
P(price ↑)15%
P(price 2×)0%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
76.1%
80% range₹23–₹166
P(price ↑)3%
P(price 2×)0%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
90.7%
80% range₹7–₹88
P(price ↑)1%
P(price 2×)0%

SWIGGY price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
SWIGGY simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds SWIGGY hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the SWIGGY price target & forecast page.

SWIGGY Piotroski F-Score: 1/9, how financially strong is it?

1/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. SWIGGY scores 1/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.

SWIGGY MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SWIGGY with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox33.0%3.0×
Zerodha28.1%3.6×
DhanCHEAPEST26.0%3.8×

Compare every broker on the SWIGGY MTF page.

SWIGGY vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
SWIGGY (this stock)66.4×₹70,250 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About SWIGGY LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

SWIGGY LIMITED (SWIGGY) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹70,250 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.

How the SWIGGY Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of SWIGGY LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

SWIGGY analysis, FAQs

Is SWIGGY LIMITED (SWIGGY) a good buy?

On the numbers, SWIGGY LIMITED (SWIGGY) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 19/100, weighing expensive at 66.4× earnings, ROE of -29.0%, a 15% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is SWIGGY overvalued or undervalued?

SWIGGY trades at 66.4× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the SWIGGY share price target for 2031?

SWIGGY's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹24, with an 80% range of ₹7₹88 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability SWIGGY doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of SWIGGY reaching ₹508 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.

What is the bull case for SWIGGY?

SWIGGY LIMITED is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in SWIGGY?

A rich 66.4× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A low Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 15% chance of finishing above today's price.

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