Case study

SYRMA

Syrma SGS Technology

Tread carefully1y model +48.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Syrma SGS Technology (SYRMA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is SYRMA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Syrma SGS Technology (SYRMA) trades at ₹1,336,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100.

On the numbers, Syrma SGS Technology (SYRMA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing expensive at 80.3× earnings, ROE of 13.9%, a 79% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

SYRMA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹25,787 Cr
Current price
₹1,336
P/E ratio
80.3×
P/B ratio
9.03×
Book value
₹148
Dividend yield
0.11%
ROCE
16.7%
ROE
13.9%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is SYRMA overvalued? SYRMA P/E vs its sector

SYRMA's P/E of 80.3× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.11% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

SYRMA P/E
80.3×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
SYRMA div yield
0.11%
Peer median yield
1.65%

SYRMA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of SYRMA history (50%/yr drift, 48%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
SYRMA 2027₹1,069₹1,974₹3,602+48%
SYRMA 2028₹1,215₹2,888₹6,907+116%
SYRMA 2029₹1,476₹4,239₹12,172+218%
SYRMA 2030₹1,805₹6,257₹21,679+369%
SYRMA 2031₹2,297₹9,149₹37,069+586%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability SYRMA goes up, or doubles?

79%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
96%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
87%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹2,668 within 5 years

The bull case for SYRMA

  • A healthy 13.9% return on equity.
  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 79% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,974 (+48%).
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹12,172.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 80.3× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • A steep 9.0× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,476.

SYRMA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years SYRMA compounded at 50%/year with annualized volatility of 48%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,069₹3,602, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

SYRMA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
48.0%
80% range₹1,069–₹3,602
P(price ↑)79%
P(price 2×)26%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
217.7%
80% range₹1,476–₹12,172
P(price ↑)92%
P(price 2×)71%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
585.9%
80% range₹2,297–₹37,069
P(price ↑)96%
P(price 2×)87%

SYRMA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
SYRMA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds SYRMA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the SYRMA price target & forecast page.

SYRMA Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. SYRMA scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

SYRMA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SYRMA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST36.2%2.8×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST36.2%2.8×
DhanCHEAPEST36.2%2.8×

Compare every broker on the SYRMA MTF page.

SYRMA vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
SYRMA (this stock)80.3×0.11%₹25,787 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Syrma SGS Technology: sector, index & market-cap context

Syrma SGS Technology (SYRMA) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹25,787 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.

How the SYRMA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Syrma SGS Technology's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

SYRMA analysis, FAQs

Is Syrma SGS Technology (SYRMA) a good buy?

On the numbers, Syrma SGS Technology (SYRMA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing expensive at 80.3× earnings, ROE of 13.9%, a 79% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is SYRMA overvalued or undervalued?

SYRMA trades at 80.3× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the SYRMA share price target for 2031?

SYRMA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹9,149, with an 80% range of ₹2,297₹37,069 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability SYRMA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of SYRMA reaching ₹2,668 (2×) within 5 years is 87%.

What is the bull case for SYRMA?

A healthy 13.9% return on equity. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 79% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,974 (+48%).

What are the risks in SYRMA?

A rich 80.3× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 9.0× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on SYRMA