Case study

TAJGVK

Taj Gvk Hotels & Resorts Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +2.2%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

64Score

Taj Gvk Hotels & Resorts Limited (TAJGVK) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is TAJGVK a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Taj Gvk Hotels & Resorts Limited (TAJGVK) trades at ₹369,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 64/100.

On the numbers, Taj Gvk Hotels & Resorts Limited (TAJGVK) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 64/100, weighing fairly valued at 16.1× earnings, ROE of 18.4%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

TAJGVK fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹2,310 Cr
Current price
₹369
P/E ratio
16.1×
P/B ratio
2.26×
Book value
₹163
Dividend yield
0.54%
ROCE
13.2%
ROE
18.4%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How TAJGVK ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is TAJGVK overvalued? TAJGVK P/E vs peers

TAJGVK trades at 16.1× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

TAJGVK share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of TAJGVK history (10%/yr drift, 44%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
TAJGVK 2027₹208₹368₹653+2%
TAJGVK 2028₹170₹376₹834+4%
TAJGVK 2029₹145₹385₹1,021+7%
TAJGVK 2030₹126₹393₹1,222+9%
TAJGVK 2031₹111₹402₹1,461+11%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability TAJGVK goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
54%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
28%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹721 within 5 years

The bull case for TAJGVK

  • TAJGVK's P/E of 15.7x is lower than 72% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • TAJGVK's return on equity of 18.4% ranks in the 80th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,021.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹145.

TAJGVK volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years TAJGVK compounded at 10%/year with annualized volatility of 44%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹208-₹653, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

TAJGVK price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.2%
80% range₹208-₹653
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
6.7%
80% range₹145-₹1,021
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
11.5%
80% range₹111-₹1,461
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)28%

TAJGVK price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
TAJGVK simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds TAJGVK hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the TAJGVK price target & forecast page.

TAJGVK Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. TAJGVK scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

TAJGVK MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TAJGVK with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST33.49%3.0×
Groww33.62%3.0×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo34.97%2.9×
Paytm MoneyCHEAPEST33.49%3.0×
Pocketful34.12%2.9×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST33.49%3.0×
Bajaj Broking50.00%2.0×
Share India33.58%3.0×

Compare every broker on the TAJGVK MTF page.

About Taj Gvk Hotels & Resorts Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Taj Gvk Hotels & Resorts Limited (TAJGVK) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,310 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the TAJGVK Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Taj Gvk Hotels & Resorts Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

TAJGVK analysis, FAQs

Is Taj Gvk Hotels & Resorts Limited (TAJGVK) a good buy?

On the numbers, Taj Gvk Hotels & Resorts Limited (TAJGVK) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 64/100, weighing fairly valued at 16.1× earnings, ROE of 18.4%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is TAJGVK overvalued or undervalued?

TAJGVK trades at 16.1× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the TAJGVK share price target for 2031?

TAJGVK's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹402, with an 80% range of ₹111-₹1,461 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability TAJGVK doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of TAJGVK reaching ₹721 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.

What is the bull case for TAJGVK?

TAJGVK's P/E of 15.7x is lower than 72% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. TAJGVK's return on equity of 18.4% ranks in the 80th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in TAJGVK?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on TAJGVK