Case study

TAMBOLIIN

Tamboli Industries Ltd

Screens weak1y model -0.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

44Score

Tamboli Industries Ltd (TAMBOLIIN) Stock Analysis & Case Study

What the numbers say about TAMBOLIIN, and the method behind each one.

Tamboli Industries Ltd (TAMBOLIIN) trades at ₹244,on the numbers it screens weak, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100.

On the numbers, Tamboli Industries Ltd (TAMBOLIIN) screens weak, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.8× earnings, ROE of 8.8%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

TAMBOLIIN fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹252 Cr
Current price
₹244
P/E ratio
22.8×
P/B ratio
1.98×
Book value
₹123
Dividend yield
0.49%
ROCE
12.0%
ROE
8.8%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How TAMBOLIIN ranks against the 2,982 companies in our screener

We do not hold a 3-year profit (PAT) growth figure for TAMBOLIIN, as of 14 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is TAMBOLIIN overvalued? TAMBOLIIN P/E vs peers

TAMBOLIIN trades at 22.8× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

TAMBOLIIN share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of TAMBOLIIN history (13%/yr drift, 48%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
TAMBOLIIN 2027₹130₹239₹440-1%
TAMBOLIIN 2028₹99₹238₹567-1%
TAMBOLIIN 2029₹83₹236₹676-1%
TAMBOLIIN 2030₹69₹235₹804-2%
TAMBOLIIN 2031₹58₹234₹940-2%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability TAMBOLIIN goes up, or doubles?

50%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
49%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
25%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹480 within 5 years

The bull case for TAMBOLIIN

  • TAMBOLIIN's P/E of 22.8x is lower than 52% of the 2,982 NSE companies in our screener, as of 14 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹676.

The bear case & risks

  • TAMBOLIIN's return on equity of 8.8% ranks in the 41st percentile of the 2,982 NSE companies in our screener, as of 14 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹83.

TAMBOLIIN volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years TAMBOLIIN compounded at 13%/year with annualized volatility of 48%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹130-₹440, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

TAMBOLIIN price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.5%
80% range₹130-₹440
P(price ↑)50%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
1.5%
80% range₹83-₹676
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
2.5%
80% range₹58-₹940
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)25%

TAMBOLIIN price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
TAMBOLIIN simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds TAMBOLIIN hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the TAMBOLIIN price target & forecast page.

TAMBOLIIN Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. TAMBOLIIN scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

About Tamboli Industries Ltd: sector, index & market-cap context

Tamboli Industries Ltd (TAMBOLIIN) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹252 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the TAMBOLIIN Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Tamboli Industries Ltd's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

TAMBOLIIN analysis, FAQs

Is Tamboli Industries Ltd (TAMBOLIIN) a good buy?

On the numbers, Tamboli Industries Ltd (TAMBOLIIN) screens weak, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.8× earnings, ROE of 8.8%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is TAMBOLIIN overvalued or undervalued?

TAMBOLIIN trades at 22.8× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the TAMBOLIIN share price target for 2031?

TAMBOLIIN's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹234, with an 80% range of ₹58-₹940 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability TAMBOLIIN doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of TAMBOLIIN reaching ₹480 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.

What is the bull case for TAMBOLIIN?

TAMBOLIIN's P/E of 22.8x is lower than 52% of the 2,982 NSE companies in our screener, as of 14 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in TAMBOLIIN?

TAMBOLIIN's return on equity of 8.8% ranks in the 41st percentile of the 2,982 NSE companies in our screener, as of 14 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on TAMBOLIIN

For information and education only. Downstox is a data and analytics platform, not a SEBI-registered Research Analyst or Investment Adviser. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Any scores, ranks, targets or scenarios are model estimates shown with their method, not forecasts or assured outcomes. Markets carry risk; do your own research and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.