Case study

TARC

TARC LIMITED

High-risk on the numbers1y model +3.6%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

25Score

TARC LIMITED (TARC) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is TARC a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

TARC LIMITED (TARC) trades at ₹131,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100.

On the numbers, TARC LIMITED (TARC) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing expensive at 202.0× earnings, ROE of 1.8%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

TARC fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹3,859 Cr
Current price
₹131
P/E ratio
202.0×
P/B ratio
3.64×
Book value
₹36
ROCE
2.3%
ROE
1.8%
Piotroski F-Score
2/8

How TARC ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is TARC overvalued? TARC P/E vs peers

TARC trades at 202.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

TARC share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 5.5y of TARC history (32%/yr drift, 45%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
TARC 2027₹77₹135₹239+4%
TARC 2028₹63₹140₹311+7%
TARC 2029₹54₹145₹392+11%
TARC 2030₹48₹151₹471+15%
TARC 2031₹44₹156₹557+19%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability TARC goes up, or doubles?

53%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
57%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
30%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹262 within 5 years

The bull case for TARC

  • TARC LIMITED is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹392.

The bear case & risks

  • TARC's P/E of 202.0x is lower than 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • TARC's return on equity of 1.8% ranks in the 18th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • TARC's Piotroski F-Score of 2/8 ranks in the 6th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹54.

TARC volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 5.5 years TARC compounded at 32%/year with annualized volatility of 45%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹77-₹239, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

TARC price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 5.5 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.6%
80% range₹77-₹239
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
11.2%
80% range₹54-₹392
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)22%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
19.3%
80% range₹44-₹557
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)30%

TARC price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
TARC simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds TARC hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the TARC price target & forecast page.

TARC Piotroski F-Score: 2/8, how financially strong is it?

2/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. TARC scores 2/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.

TARC MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TARC with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST35.25%2.8×
Zerodha35.28%2.8×
Groww35.38%2.8×
Dhan35.28%2.8×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money36.25%2.8×
Pocketful35.32%2.8×
Anand Rathi35.28%2.8×
Bajaj Broking45.00%2.2×
Share India35.34%2.8×

Compare every broker on the TARC MTF page.

About TARC LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

TARC LIMITED (TARC) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹3,859 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the TARC Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of TARC LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

TARC analysis, FAQs

Is TARC LIMITED (TARC) a good buy?

On the numbers, TARC LIMITED (TARC) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing expensive at 202.0× earnings, ROE of 1.8%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is TARC overvalued or undervalued?

TARC trades at 202.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the TARC share price target for 2031?

TARC's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹156, with an 80% range of ₹44-₹557 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability TARC doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of TARC reaching ₹262 (2×) within 5 years is 30%.

What is the bull case for TARC?

TARC LIMITED is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in TARC?

TARC's P/E of 202.0x is lower than 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. TARC's return on equity of 1.8% ranks in the 18th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. TARC's Piotroski F-Score of 2/8 ranks in the 6th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on TARC