TARIL
Trans & Recti
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Trans & Recti (TARIL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is TARIL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Trans & Recti (TARIL) trades at ₹352,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.
On the numbers, Trans & Recti (TARIL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 39.9× earnings, ROE of 19.1%, a 37% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
TARIL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is TARIL overvalued? TARIL P/E vs its sector
TARIL's P/E of 39.9× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.06% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
TARIL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of TARIL history (-2%/yr drift, 56%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TARIL 2027 | ₹143 | ₹300 | ₹614 | -16% |
| TARIL 2028 | ₹89 | ₹250 | ₹701 | -30% |
| TARIL 2029 | ₹59 | ₹211 | ₹736 | -41% |
| TARIL 2030 | ₹40 | ₹177 | ₹751 | -51% |
| TARIL 2031 | ₹29 | ₹149 | ₹745 | -58% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability TARIL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for TARIL
- High return on equity (19.1%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (23.3%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹736.
The bear case & risks
- At 39.9× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 37% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (56%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹59.
TARIL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years TARIL compounded at -2%/year with annualized volatility of 56%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹143–₹614, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
TARIL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
TARIL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds TARIL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the TARIL price target & forecast page.
TARIL Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. TARIL scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
TARIL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TARIL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 42.9% | 2.3× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 42.9% | 2.3× |
| Groww | 43.1% | 2.3× |
Compare every broker on the TARIL MTF page.
TARIL vs peers,sector comparison
About Trans & Recti: sector, index & market-cap context
Trans & Recti (TARIL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹10,546 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the TARIL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Trans & Recti's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
TARIL analysis, FAQs
Is Trans & Recti (TARIL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Trans & Recti (TARIL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 39.9× earnings, ROE of 19.1%, a 37% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is TARIL overvalued or undervalued?
TARIL trades at 39.9× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the TARIL share price target for 2031?
TARIL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹149, with an 80% range of ₹29–₹745 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability TARIL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of TARIL reaching ₹715 (2×) within 5 years is 11%.
What is the bull case for TARIL?
High return on equity (19.1%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (23.3%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in TARIL?
At 39.9× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 37% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (56%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.