TARIL
Transformers and Rectifiers (India) Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Transformers and Rectifiers (India) Limited (TARIL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is TARIL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Transformers and Rectifiers (India) Limited (TARIL) trades at ₹296,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100.
On the numbers, Transformers and Rectifiers (India) Limited (TARIL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100, weighing premium at 34.4× earnings, ROE of 19.1%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
TARIL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How TARIL ranks against the 2,371 companies in our screener
- TARIL's market cap of 8,891 Cr ranks in the 74th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- TARIL's book value of ₹51 ranks in the 33rd percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- TARIL's promoter holding of 64.4% ranks in the 61st percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- TARIL's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 87.0% ranks in the 92nd percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- TARIL's 3-year revenue growth of 22.0% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- TARIL's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.30x is lower than 51% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
Is TARIL overvalued? TARIL P/E vs peers
TARIL trades at 34.4× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
TARIL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of TARIL history (30%/yr drift, 56%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TARIL 2027 | ₹144 | ₹297 | ₹611 | -0% |
| TARIL 2028 | ₹105 | ₹297 | ₹841 | -0% |
| TARIL 2029 | ₹82 | ₹296 | ₹1,065 | -1% |
| TARIL 2030 | ₹65 | ₹295 | ₹1,341 | -1% |
| TARIL 2031 | ₹56 | ₹295 | ₹1,558 | -1% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability TARIL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for TARIL
- TARIL's return on equity of 19.1% ranks in the 82nd percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- TARIL's return on capital employed of 23.3% ranks in the 86th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,065.
The bear case & risks
- TARIL's P/E of 34.4x is lower than 40% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- High historical volatility (56%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹82.
TARIL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years TARIL compounded at 30%/year with annualized volatility of 56%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹144-₹611, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
TARIL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
TARIL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds TARIL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the TARIL price target & forecast page.
TARIL Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. TARIL scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
TARIL MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TARIL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 41.65% | 2.4× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 41.59% | 2.4× |
| Groww | 41.92% | 2.4× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 41.59% | 2.4× |
| Kotak Neo | 41.67% | 2.4× |
| Paytm Money | 43.15% | 2.3× |
| Pocketful | 42.37% | 2.4× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 41.59% | 2.4× |
| Bajaj Broking | 45.00% | 2.2× |
| Share India | 41.85% | 2.4× |
Compare every broker on the TARIL MTF page.
About Transformers and Rectifiers (India) Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Transformers and Rectifiers (India) Limited (TARIL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹8,891 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the TARIL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Transformers and Rectifiers (India) Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
TARIL analysis, FAQs
Is Transformers and Rectifiers (India) Limited (TARIL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Transformers and Rectifiers (India) Limited (TARIL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100, weighing premium at 34.4× earnings, ROE of 19.1%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is TARIL overvalued or undervalued?
TARIL trades at 34.4× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the TARIL share price target for 2031?
TARIL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹295, with an 80% range of ₹56-₹1,558 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability TARIL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of TARIL reaching ₹596 (2×) within 5 years is 29%.
What is the bull case for TARIL?
TARIL's return on equity of 19.1% ranks in the 82nd percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026. TARIL's return on capital employed of 23.3% ranks in the 86th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in TARIL?
TARIL's P/E of 34.4x is lower than 40% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (56%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.