TARSONS
TARSONS PRODUCTS LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
TARSONS PRODUCTS LIMITED (TARSONS) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is TARSONS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
TARSONS PRODUCTS LIMITED (TARSONS) trades at ₹312,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 20/100.
On the numbers, TARSONS PRODUCTS LIMITED (TARSONS) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 20/100, weighing expensive at 110.0× earnings, ROE of 2.4%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
TARSONS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How TARSONS ranks against the 2,374 companies in our screener
- TARSONS's market cap of 1,658 Cr ranks in the 48th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- TARSONS's book value of ₹119 ranks in the 57th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- TARSONS's promoter holding of 47.3% ranks in the 26th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- TARSONS's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of -19.0% ranks in the 12th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- TARSONS's 3-year revenue growth of -19.0% ranks in the bottom 5% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- TARSONS's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.62x is lower than 29% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
Is TARSONS overvalued? TARSONS P/E vs peers
TARSONS trades at 110.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
TARSONS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 4.6y of TARSONS history (-22%/yr drift, 45%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TARSONS 2027 | ₹161 | ₹289 | ₹517 | -1% |
| TARSONS 2028 | ₹125 | ₹285 | ₹649 | -3% |
| TARSONS 2029 | ₹103 | ₹281 | ₹768 | -4% |
| TARSONS 2030 | ₹87 | ₹277 | ₹876 | -5% |
| TARSONS 2031 | ₹75 | ₹273 | ₹996 | -7% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability TARSONS goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for TARSONS
- TARSONS PRODUCTS LIMITED is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹768.
The bear case & risks
- TARSONS's P/E of 110.0x is lower than 10% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- TARSONS's return on equity of 2.4% ranks in the 21st percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- TARSONS's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- High historical volatility (45%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹103.
TARSONS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 4.6 years TARSONS compounded at -22%/year with annualized volatility of 45%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹161-₹517, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
TARSONS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
TARSONS price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds TARSONS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the TARSONS price target & forecast page.
TARSONS Piotroski F-Score: 3/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. TARSONS scores 3/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.
TARSONS MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TARSONS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 37.46% | 2.7× |
| Zerodha | 37.42% | 2.7× |
| Groww | 37.58% | 2.7× |
| Dhan | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Kotak Neo | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Paytm Money | 37.46% | 2.7× |
| PocketfulCHEAPEST | 37.23% | 2.7× |
| Anand Rathi | 37.42% | 2.7× |
| Bajaj Broking | 40.00% | 2.5× |
| Share India | 37.53% | 2.7× |
Compare every broker on the TARSONS MTF page.
About TARSONS PRODUCTS LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
TARSONS PRODUCTS LIMITED (TARSONS) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,662 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the TARSONS Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of TARSONS PRODUCTS LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
TARSONS analysis, FAQs
Is TARSONS PRODUCTS LIMITED (TARSONS) a good buy?
On the numbers, TARSONS PRODUCTS LIMITED (TARSONS) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 20/100, weighing expensive at 110.0× earnings, ROE of 2.4%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is TARSONS overvalued or undervalued?
TARSONS trades at 110.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the TARSONS share price target for 2031?
TARSONS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹273, with an 80% range of ₹75-₹996 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability TARSONS doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of TARSONS reaching ₹585 (2×) within 5 years is 22%.
What is the bull case for TARSONS?
TARSONS PRODUCTS LIMITED is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in TARSONS?
TARSONS's P/E of 110.0x is lower than 10% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026. TARSONS's return on equity of 2.4% ranks in the 21st percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026. TARSONS's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.