TATACAP
TATA CAPITAL LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
TATA CAPITAL LIMITED (TATACAP) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is TATACAP a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
TATA CAPITAL LIMITED (TATACAP) trades at ₹356,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.
On the numbers, TATA CAPITAL LIMITED (TATACAP) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 30.6× earnings, ROE of 12.3%, a 66% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
TATACAP fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is TATACAP overvalued? TATACAP P/E vs its sector
TATACAP's P/E of 30.6× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
TATACAP share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 0.7y of TATACAP history (15%/yr drift, 28%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TATACAP 2027 | ₹287 | ₹412 | ₹583 | +12% |
| TATACAP 2028 | ₹278 | ₹461 | ₹758 | +26% |
| TATACAP 2029 | ₹280 | ₹514 | ₹951 | +40% |
| TATACAP 2030 | ₹287 | ₹579 | ₹1,175 | +58% |
| TATACAP 2031 | ₹295 | ₹651 | ₹1,423 | +77% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability TATACAP goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for TATACAP
- A healthy 12.3% return on equity.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 66% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹412 (+12%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹951.
The bear case & risks
- At 30.6× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹280.
TATACAP volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 0.7 years TATACAP compounded at 15%/year with annualized volatility of 28%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹287–₹583, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
TATACAP price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
TATACAP price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds TATACAP hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the TATACAP price target & forecast page.
TATACAP Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. TATACAP scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
TATACAP MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TATACAP with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 26.5% | 3.8× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 26.5% | 3.8× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 26.5% | 3.8× |
Compare every broker on the TATACAP MTF page.
TATACAP vs peers,sector comparison
About TATA CAPITAL LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
TATA CAPITAL LIMITED (TATACAP) is a large-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 50 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.49L Cr. See more Nifty 50 stocks.
How the TATACAP Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of TATA CAPITAL LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
TATACAP analysis, FAQs
Is TATA CAPITAL LIMITED (TATACAP) a good buy?
On the numbers, TATA CAPITAL LIMITED (TATACAP) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 30.6× earnings, ROE of 12.3%, a 66% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is TATACAP overvalued or undervalued?
TATACAP trades at 30.6× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the TATACAP share price target for 2031?
TATACAP's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹651, with an 80% range of ₹295–₹1,423 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability TATACAP doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of TATACAP reaching ₹734 (2×) within 5 years is 42%.
What is the bull case for TATACAP?
A healthy 12.3% return on equity. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 66% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹412 (+12%).
What are the risks in TATACAP?
At 30.6× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.