TATACHEM
Tata Chemicals Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Tata Chemicals Limited (TATACHEM) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is TATACHEM a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Tata Chemicals Limited (TATACHEM) trades at ₹674,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.
On the numbers, Tata Chemicals Limited (TATACHEM) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 832.0× earnings, ROE of 1.3%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
TATACHEM fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How TATACHEM ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- TATACHEM's market cap of 17,159 Cr ranks in the 83rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TATACHEM's book value of ₹832 ranks in the top 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TATACHEM's promoter holding of 38.0% ranks in the 14th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TATACHEM's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of -51.0% ranks in the bottom 2% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TATACHEM's 3-year revenue growth of -5.0% ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TATACHEM's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.38x is lower than 44% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is TATACHEM overvalued? TATACHEM P/E vs peers
TATACHEM trades at 832.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
TATACHEM share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of TATACHEM history (12%/yr drift, 29%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TATACHEM 2027 | ₹496 | ₹713 | ₹1,026 | +6% |
| TATACHEM 2028 | ₹446 | ₹755 | ₹1,278 | +12% |
| TATACHEM 2029 | ₹423 | ₹799 | ₹1,510 | +19% |
| TATACHEM 2030 | ₹404 | ₹846 | ₹1,770 | +26% |
| TATACHEM 2031 | ₹397 | ₹896 | ₹2,019 | +33% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability TATACHEM goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for TATACHEM
- Low price-to-book of 0.81×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,510.
The bear case & risks
- TATACHEM's P/E of 832.0x is lower than 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TATACHEM's return on equity of 1.3% ranks in the 17th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹423.
TATACHEM volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years TATACHEM compounded at 12%/year with annualized volatility of 29%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹496-₹1,026, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
TATACHEM price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
TATACHEM price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds TATACHEM hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the TATACHEM price target & forecast page.
TATACHEM Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. TATACHEM scores 4/8, mixed financial health.
TATACHEM MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TATACHEM with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 29.41% | 3.4× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 29.40% | 3.4× |
| Groww | 29.52% | 3.4× |
| Dhan | 29.40% | 3.4× |
| Kotak Neo | 30.03% | 3.3× |
| Paytm Money | 29.60% | 3.4× |
| Pocketful | 29.69% | 3.4× |
| Fyers | 30.30% | 3.3× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 29.40% | 3.4× |
| Bajaj Broking | 31.00% | 3.2× |
| Share India | 29.49% | 3.4× |
Compare every broker on the TATACHEM MTF page.
About Tata Chemicals Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Tata Chemicals Limited (TATACHEM) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹17,159 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the TATACHEM Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Tata Chemicals Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
TATACHEM analysis, FAQs
Is Tata Chemicals Limited (TATACHEM) a good buy?
On the numbers, Tata Chemicals Limited (TATACHEM) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 832.0× earnings, ROE of 1.3%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is TATACHEM overvalued or undervalued?
TATACHEM trades at 832.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the TATACHEM share price target for 2031?
TATACHEM's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹896, with an 80% range of ₹397-₹2,019 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability TATACHEM doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of TATACHEM reaching ₹1,347 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.
What is the bull case for TATACHEM?
Low price-to-book of 0.81×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in TATACHEM?
TATACHEM's P/E of 832.0x is lower than 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. TATACHEM's return on equity of 1.3% ranks in the 17th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.