TATACOMM
Tata Communications
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Tata Communications (TATACOMM) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is TATACOMM a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Tata Communications (TATACOMM) trades at ₹2,062,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 48/100.
On the numbers, Tata Communications (TATACOMM) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 48/100, weighing expensive at 55.6× earnings, ROE of 32.6%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
TATACOMM fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is TATACOMM overvalued? TATACOMM P/E vs its sector
TATACOMM's P/E of 55.6× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.85% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
TATACOMM share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of TATACOMM history (4%/yr drift, 31%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TATACOMM 2027 | ₹1,327 | ₹1,973 | ₹2,900 | -1% |
| TATACOMM 2028 | ₹1,113 | ₹1,951 | ₹3,429 | -2% |
| TATACOMM 2029 | ₹976 | ₹1,948 | ₹3,846 | -2% |
| TATACOMM 2030 | ₹877 | ₹1,941 | ₹4,242 | -2% |
| TATACOMM 2031 | ₹781 | ₹1,934 | ₹4,572 | -3% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability TATACOMM goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for TATACOMM
- High return on equity (32.6%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,846.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 55.6× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- A steep 17.0× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹976.
TATACOMM volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years TATACOMM compounded at 4%/year with annualized volatility of 31%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,327–₹2,900, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
TATACOMM price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
TATACOMM price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds TATACOMM hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the TATACOMM price target & forecast page.
TATACOMM Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. TATACOMM scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
TATACOMM MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TATACOMM with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 31.0% | 3.2× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 31.0% | 3.2× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 31.0% | 3.2× |
Compare every broker on the TATACOMM MTF page.
TATACOMM vs peers,sector comparison
About Tata Communications: sector, index & market-cap context
Tata Communications (TATACOMM) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹58,694 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.
How the TATACOMM Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Tata Communications's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
TATACOMM analysis, FAQs
Is Tata Communications (TATACOMM) a good buy?
On the numbers, Tata Communications (TATACOMM) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 48/100, weighing expensive at 55.6× earnings, ROE of 32.6%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is TATACOMM overvalued or undervalued?
TATACOMM trades at 55.6× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the TATACOMM share price target for 2031?
TATACOMM's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,934, with an 80% range of ₹781–₹4,572 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability TATACOMM doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of TATACOMM reaching ₹3,978 (2×) within 5 years is 14%.
What is the bull case for TATACOMM?
High return on equity (32.6%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
What are the risks in TATACOMM?
A rich 55.6× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 17.0× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.