Case study

TATACOMM

Tata Communications Limited

Mixed signals1y model +7.8%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

48Score

Tata Communications Limited (TATACOMM) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is TATACOMM a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Tata Communications Limited (TATACOMM) trades at ₹1,755,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 48/100.

On the numbers, Tata Communications Limited (TATACOMM) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 48/100, weighing expensive at 48.1× earnings, ROE of 32.6%, a 60% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

TATACOMM fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹50,026 Cr
Current price
₹1,755
P/E ratio
48.1×
P/B ratio
14.50×
Book value
₹121
Dividend yield
1.00%
ROCE
14.6%
ROE
32.6%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How TATACOMM ranks against the 2,374 companies in our screener

Is TATACOMM overvalued? TATACOMM P/E vs peers

TATACOMM trades at 48.1× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

TATACOMM share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of TATACOMM history (18%/yr drift, 30%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
TATACOMM 2027₹1,259₹1,856₹2,738+8%
TATACOMM 2028₹1,136₹2,001₹3,524+16%
TATACOMM 2029₹1,097₹2,156₹4,240+25%
TATACOMM 2030₹1,041₹2,324₹5,188+35%
TATACOMM 2031₹1,026₹2,505₹6,115+45%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability TATACOMM goes up, or doubles?

60%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
70%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
32%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹3,445 within 5 years

The bull case for TATACOMM

  • TATACOMM's return on equity of 32.6% ranks in the top 5% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹4,240.

The bear case & risks

  • TATACOMM's P/E of 47.6x is lower than 28% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 14.5× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,097.

TATACOMM volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years TATACOMM compounded at 18%/year with annualized volatility of 30%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,259-₹2,738, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

TATACOMM price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
7.8%
80% range₹1,259-₹2,738
P(price ↑)60%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
25.2%
80% range₹1,097-₹4,240
P(price ↑)66%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
45.4%
80% range₹1,026-₹6,115
P(price ↑)70%
P(price 2×)32%

TATACOMM price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
TATACOMM simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds TATACOMM hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the TATACOMM price target & forecast page.

TATACOMM Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. TATACOMM scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

TATACOMM MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TATACOMM with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox30.42%3.3×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST30.39%3.3×
Groww30.51%3.3×
DhanCHEAPEST30.39%3.3×
Kotak Neo30.40%3.3×
Paytm Money31.08%3.2×
Pocketful30.69%3.3×
Fyers31.25%3.2×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST30.39%3.3×
Bajaj Broking32.00%3.1×
Share India30.49%3.3×

Compare every broker on the TATACOMM MTF page.

About Tata Communications Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Tata Communications Limited (TATACOMM) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹50,026 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the TATACOMM Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Tata Communications Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

TATACOMM analysis, FAQs

Is Tata Communications Limited (TATACOMM) a good buy?

On the numbers, Tata Communications Limited (TATACOMM) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 48/100, weighing expensive at 48.1× earnings, ROE of 32.6%, a 60% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is TATACOMM overvalued or undervalued?

TATACOMM trades at 48.1× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the TATACOMM share price target for 2031?

TATACOMM's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2,505, with an 80% range of ₹1,026-₹6,115 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability TATACOMM doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of TATACOMM reaching ₹3,445 (2×) within 5 years is 32%.

What is the bull case for TATACOMM?

TATACOMM's return on equity of 32.6% ranks in the top 5% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in TATACOMM?

TATACOMM's P/E of 47.6x is lower than 28% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026. A steep 14.5× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.

More on TATACOMM