TATAELXSI
TATA ELXSI LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
TATA ELXSI LIMITED (TATAELXSI) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is TATAELXSI a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
TATA ELXSI LIMITED (TATAELXSI) trades at ₹3,781,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100.
On the numbers, TATA ELXSI LIMITED (TATAELXSI) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing expensive at 231.0× earnings, ROE of 39.3%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
TATAELXSI fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How TATAELXSI ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- TATAELXSI's market cap of 23,555 Cr ranks in the 86th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TATAELXSI's book value of ₹46 ranks in the 31st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TATAELXSI's promoter holding of 43.9% ranks in the 21st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TATAELXSI's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 43.0% ranks in the 80th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TATAELXSI's 3-year revenue growth of 16.0% ranks in the 65th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for TATAELXSI, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.
Is TATAELXSI overvalued? TATAELXSI P/E vs peers
TATAELXSI trades at 231.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
TATAELXSI share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of TATAELXSI history (15%/yr drift, 34%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TATAELXSI 2027 | ₹2,627 | ₹4,056 | ₹6,262 | +7% |
| TATAELXSI 2028 | ₹2,360 | ₹4,351 | ₹8,022 | +15% |
| TATAELXSI 2029 | ₹2,211 | ₹4,668 | ₹9,855 | +23% |
| TATAELXSI 2030 | ₹2,091 | ₹5,007 | ₹11,993 | +32% |
| TATAELXSI 2031 | ₹2,037 | ₹5,372 | ₹14,165 | +42% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability TATAELXSI goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for TATAELXSI
- TATAELXSI's return on equity of 39.3% ranks in the top 3% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TATAELXSI's return on capital employed of 60.0% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹9,855.
The bear case & risks
- TATAELXSI's P/E of 231.0x is lower than 4% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- A steep 83.1× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹2,211.
TATAELXSI volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years TATAELXSI compounded at 15%/year with annualized volatility of 34%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹2,627-₹6,262, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
TATAELXSI price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
TATAELXSI price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds TATAELXSI hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the TATAELXSI price target & forecast page.
TATAELXSI Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. TATAELXSI scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
TATAELXSI MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TATAELXSI with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 26.93% | 3.7× |
| Zerodha | 25.90% | 3.9× |
| Groww | 25.99% | 3.8× |
| Dhan | 24.00% | 4.2× |
| Kotak NeoCHEAPEST | 23.42% | 4.3× |
| Paytm Money | 27.53% | 3.6× |
| Pocketful | 30.60% | 3.3× |
| Fyers | 31.25% | 3.2× |
| Anand Rathi | 30.43% | 3.3× |
| Bajaj Broking | 25.00% | 4.0× |
| Share India | 30.53% | 3.3× |
Compare every broker on the TATAELXSI MTF page.
About TATA ELXSI LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
TATA ELXSI LIMITED (TATAELXSI) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹23,555 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the TATAELXSI Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of TATA ELXSI LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
TATAELXSI analysis, FAQs
Is TATA ELXSI LIMITED (TATAELXSI) a good buy?
On the numbers, TATA ELXSI LIMITED (TATAELXSI) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing expensive at 231.0× earnings, ROE of 39.3%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is TATAELXSI overvalued or undervalued?
TATAELXSI trades at 231.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the TATAELXSI share price target for 2031?
TATAELXSI's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹5,372, with an 80% range of ₹2,037-₹14,165 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability TATAELXSI doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of TATAELXSI reaching ₹7,562 (2×) within 5 years is 33%.
What is the bull case for TATAELXSI?
TATAELXSI's return on equity of 39.3% ranks in the top 3% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. TATAELXSI's return on capital employed of 60.0% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in TATAELXSI?
TATAELXSI's P/E of 231.0x is lower than 4% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 83.1× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.