Case study

TATAGOLD

Tataaml-Tatagold

Worth a closer look1y model +11.2%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

61Score

Tataaml-Tatagold (TATAGOLD) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is TATAGOLD a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.

On the numbers, Tataaml-Tatagold (TATAGOLD) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 67% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

How TATAGOLD ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

TATAGOLD is not currently one of the 2,373 companies in our live screener universe, so no percentile comparison is available for it here.

TATAGOLD share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.5y of TATAGOLD history (34%/yr drift, 25%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
TATAGOLD 2027₹12₹16₹22+11%
TATAGOLD 2028₹12₹18₹28+24%
TATAGOLD 2029₹12₹20₹34+38%
TATAGOLD 2030₹12₹22₹42+53%
TATAGOLD 2031₹12₹25₹50+70%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability TATAGOLD goes up, or doubles?

67%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
83%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
38%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹29 within 5 years

The bull case for TATAGOLD

  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 67% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹16 (+11%).
  • Relatively low volatility (25%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹34.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹12.

TATAGOLD volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.5 years TATAGOLD compounded at 34%/year with annualized volatility of 25%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹12-₹22, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

TATAGOLD price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.5 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
11.2%
80% range₹12-₹22
P(price ↑)67%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
37.6%
80% range₹12-₹34
P(price ↑)77%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
70.2%
80% range₹12-₹50
P(price ↑)83%
P(price 2×)38%

TATAGOLD price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
TATAGOLD simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds TATAGOLD hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the TATAGOLD price target & forecast page.

TATAGOLD MTF margin & leverage across 7 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TATAGOLD with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 7 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox50.00%2.0×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST28.51%3.5×
Dhan29.00%3.4×
Kotak Neo30.03%3.3×
Paytm Money28.69%3.5×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST28.51%3.5×
Share India28.53%3.5×

Compare every broker on the TATAGOLD MTF page.

About Tataaml-Tatagold: sector, index & market-cap context

Tataaml-Tatagold (TATAGOLD) is an NSE-listed company. See more stocks on our screener.

How the TATAGOLD Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Tataaml-Tatagold's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

TATAGOLD analysis, FAQs

Is Tataaml-Tatagold (TATAGOLD) a good buy?

On the numbers, Tataaml-Tatagold (TATAGOLD) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 67% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is TATAGOLD overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation ratios for TATAGOLD are tracked live on Downstox.

What is the TATAGOLD share price target for 2031?

TATAGOLD's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹25, with an 80% range of ₹12-₹50 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability TATAGOLD doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of TATAGOLD reaching ₹29 (2×) within 5 years is 38%.

What is the bull case for TATAGOLD?

A 10,000-path probability model puts a 67% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹16 (+11%). Relatively low volatility (25%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.

What are the risks in TATAGOLD?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on TATAGOLD