Case study

TATAINVEST

TATA INVESTMENT CORP LTD

High-risk on the numbers1y model -7.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

TATA INVESTMENT CORP LTD (TATAINVEST) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is TATAINVEST a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

TATA INVESTMENT CORP LTD (TATAINVEST) trades at ₹690,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100.

On the numbers, TATA INVESTMENT CORP LTD (TATAINVEST) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100, weighing expensive at 80.6× earnings, ROE of 1.4%, a 42% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

TATAINVEST fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹34,941 Cr
Current price
₹690
P/E ratio
80.6×
P/B ratio
1.19×
Book value
₹578
Dividend yield
0.49%
ROCE
1.6%
ROE
1.4%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is TATAINVEST overvalued? TATAINVEST P/E vs its sector

TATAINVEST's P/E of 80.6× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.49% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

TATAINVEST P/E
80.6×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
TATAINVEST div yield
0.49%
Peer median yield
1.65%

TATAINVEST share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of TATAINVEST history (1%/yr drift, 39%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
TATAINVEST 2027₹391₹639₹1,055-8%
TATAINVEST 2028₹301₹591₹1,216-14%
TATAINVEST 2029₹236₹552₹1,347-20%
TATAINVEST 2030₹190₹516₹1,434-25%
TATAINVEST 2031₹159₹480₹1,473-31%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability TATAINVEST goes up, or doubles?

42%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
34%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
11%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,382 within 5 years

The bull case for TATAINVEST

  • Low price-to-book of 1.19×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,347.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 80.6× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • Return on equity is a soft 1.4%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 42% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹236.

TATAINVEST volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years TATAINVEST compounded at 1%/year with annualized volatility of 39%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹391₹1,055, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

TATAINVEST price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
7.5%
80% range₹391–₹1,055
P(price ↑)42%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
20.2%
80% range₹236–₹1,347
P(price ↑)37%
P(price 2×)9%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
30.5%
80% range₹159–₹1,473
P(price ↑)34%
P(price 2×)11%

TATAINVEST price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
TATAINVEST simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds TATAINVEST hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the TATAINVEST price target & forecast page.

TATAINVEST Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. TATAINVEST scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

TATAINVEST MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TATAINVEST with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST34.2%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST34.2%2.9×
DhanCHEAPEST34.2%2.9×

Compare every broker on the TATAINVEST MTF page.

TATAINVEST vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
TATAINVEST (this stock)80.6×0.49%₹34,941 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About TATA INVESTMENT CORP LTD: sector, index & market-cap context

TATA INVESTMENT CORP LTD (TATAINVEST) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹34,941 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.

How the TATAINVEST Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of TATA INVESTMENT CORP LTD's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

TATAINVEST analysis, FAQs

Is TATA INVESTMENT CORP LTD (TATAINVEST) a good buy?

On the numbers, TATA INVESTMENT CORP LTD (TATAINVEST) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100, weighing expensive at 80.6× earnings, ROE of 1.4%, a 42% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is TATAINVEST overvalued or undervalued?

TATAINVEST trades at 80.6× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the TATAINVEST share price target for 2031?

TATAINVEST's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹480, with an 80% range of ₹159₹1,473 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability TATAINVEST doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of TATAINVEST reaching ₹1,382 (2×) within 5 years is 11%.

What is the bull case for TATAINVEST?

Low price-to-book of 1.19×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in TATAINVEST?

A rich 80.6× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 1.4%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 42% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on TATAINVEST