Case study

TATATECH

Tata Technologies

Tread carefully1y model -18.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Tata Technologies (TATATECH) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is TATATECH a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Tata Technologies (TATATECH) trades at ₹752,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.

On the numbers, Tata Technologies (TATATECH) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing expensive at 49.8× earnings, ROE of 16.3%, a 24% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

TATATECH fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹30,517 Cr
Current price
₹752
P/E ratio
49.8×
P/B ratio
7.78×
Book value
₹97
Dividend yield
1.11%
ROCE
20.9%
ROE
16.3%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is TATATECH overvalued? TATATECH P/E vs its sector

TATATECH's P/E of 49.8× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 1.11% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

TATATECH P/E
49.8×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
TATATECH div yield
1.11%
Peer median yield
1.65%

TATATECH share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of TATATECH history (-15%/yr drift, 28%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
TATATECH 2027₹430₹609₹876-18%
TATATECH 2028₹307₹509₹846-31%
TATATECH 2029₹226₹419₹776-44%
TATATECH 2030₹169₹344₹701-54%
TATATECH 2031₹128₹281₹631-62%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability TATATECH goes up, or doubles?

24%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
6%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
0%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,485 within 5 years

The bull case for TATATECH

  • A healthy 16.3% return on equity.
  • Strong ROCE (20.9%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹776.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 49.8× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 24% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹226.

TATATECH volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years TATATECH compounded at -15%/year with annualized volatility of 28%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹430₹876, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

TATATECH price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
18.0%
80% range₹430–₹876
P(price ↑)24%
P(price 2×)0%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
43.5%
80% range₹226–₹776
P(price ↑)12%
P(price 2×)0%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
62.2%
80% range₹128–₹631
P(price ↑)6%
P(price 2×)0%

TATATECH price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
TATATECH simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds TATATECH hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the TATATECH price target & forecast page.

TATATECH Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. TATATECH scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

TATATECH MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TATATECH with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST29.3%3.4×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST29.3%3.4×
DhanCHEAPEST29.3%3.4×

Compare every broker on the TATATECH MTF page.

TATATECH vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
TATATECH (this stock)49.8×1.11%₹30,517 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Tata Technologies: sector, index & market-cap context

Tata Technologies (TATATECH) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹30,517 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.

How the TATATECH Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Tata Technologies's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

TATATECH analysis, FAQs

Is Tata Technologies (TATATECH) a good buy?

On the numbers, Tata Technologies (TATATECH) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing expensive at 49.8× earnings, ROE of 16.3%, a 24% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is TATATECH overvalued or undervalued?

TATATECH trades at 49.8× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the TATATECH share price target for 2031?

TATATECH's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹281, with an 80% range of ₹128₹631 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability TATATECH doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of TATATECH reaching ₹1,485 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.

What is the bull case for TATATECH?

A healthy 16.3% return on equity. Strong ROCE (20.9%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.

What are the risks in TATATECH?

A rich 49.8× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 24% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on TATATECH