Case study

TATSILV

Tata Silver ETF

Mixed signals1y model +0.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

45Score

Tata Silver ETF (TATSILV) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is TATSILV a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100.

On the numbers, Tata Silver ETF (TATSILV) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

How TATSILV ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

TATSILV is not currently one of the 2,373 companies in our live screener universe, so no percentile comparison is available for it here.

TATSILV share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.5y of TATSILV history (41%/yr drift, 48%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
TATSILV 2027₹12₹22₹41+0%
TATSILV 2028₹9₹23₹55+1%
TATSILV 2029₹8₹23₹67+1%
TATSILV 2030₹6₹23₹80+2%
TATSILV 2031₹6₹23₹93+2%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability TATSILV goes up, or doubles?

50%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
51%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
27%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹45 within 5 years

The bull case for TATSILV

  • Tata Silver ETF is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹67.

The bear case & risks

  • High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹8.

TATSILV volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.5 years TATSILV compounded at 41%/year with annualized volatility of 48%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹12-₹41, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

TATSILV price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.5 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.4%
80% range₹12-₹41
P(price ↑)50%
P(price 2×)8%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
1.3%
80% range₹8-₹67
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
2.2%
80% range₹6-₹93
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)27%

TATSILV price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
TATSILV simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds TATSILV hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the TATSILV price target & forecast page.

TATSILV MTF margin & leverage across 7 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TATSILV with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 7 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox50.00%2.0×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST39.25%2.5×
DhanCHEAPEST39.25%2.5×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money39.70%2.5×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST39.25%2.5×
Share India39.40%2.5×

Compare every broker on the TATSILV MTF page.

About Tata Silver ETF: sector, index & market-cap context

Tata Silver ETF (TATSILV) is an NSE-listed company. See more stocks on our screener.

How the TATSILV Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Tata Silver ETF's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

TATSILV analysis, FAQs

Is Tata Silver ETF (TATSILV) a good buy?

On the numbers, Tata Silver ETF (TATSILV) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is TATSILV overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation ratios for TATSILV are tracked live on Downstox.

What is the TATSILV share price target for 2031?

TATSILV's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹23, with an 80% range of ₹6-₹93 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability TATSILV doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of TATSILV reaching ₹45 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.

What is the bull case for TATSILV?

Tata Silver ETF is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in TATSILV?

High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on TATSILV