Case study

TCC

TCC Concept

Tread carefully1y model -0.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

44Score

TCC Concept (TCC) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is TCC a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

TCC Concept (TCC) trades at ₹273,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100.

On the numbers, TCC Concept (TCC) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.7× earnings, ROE of 5.3%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

TCC fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,297 Cr
Current price
₹273
P/E ratio
19.7×
P/B ratio
0.79×
Book value
₹346
ROCE
5.7%
ROE
5.3%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How TCC ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is TCC overvalued? TCC P/E vs peers

TCC trades at 19.7× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

TCC share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of TCC history (29%/yr drift, 48%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
TCC 2027₹148₹273₹502-0%
TCC 2028₹114₹272₹646-1%
TCC 2029₹95₹271₹774-1%
TCC 2030₹80₹270₹903-2%
TCC 2031₹70₹269₹1,034-2%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability TCC goes up, or doubles?

50%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
49%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
25%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹548 within 5 years

The bull case for TCC

  • TCC's P/E of 19.8x is lower than 63% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Low price-to-book of 0.79×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹774.

The bear case & risks

  • TCC's return on equity of 5.3% ranks in the 31st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹95.

TCC volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years TCC compounded at 29%/year with annualized volatility of 48%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹148-₹502, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

TCC price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.4%
80% range₹148-₹502
P(price ↑)50%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
1.2%
80% range₹95-₹774
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
2.0%
80% range₹70-₹1,034
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)25%

TCC price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
TCC simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds TCC hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the TCC price target & forecast page.

TCC Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. TCC scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

TCC MTF margin & leverage across 4 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TCC with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 4 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Zerodha50.00%2.0×
Groww37.18%2.7×
Dhan50.00%2.0×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST37.12%2.7×

Compare every broker on the TCC MTF page.

About TCC Concept: sector, index & market-cap context

TCC Concept (TCC) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,297 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the TCC Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of TCC Concept's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

TCC analysis, FAQs

Is TCC Concept (TCC) a good buy?

On the numbers, TCC Concept (TCC) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.7× earnings, ROE of 5.3%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is TCC overvalued or undervalued?

TCC trades at 19.7× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the TCC share price target for 2031?

TCC's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹269, with an 80% range of ₹70-₹1,034 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability TCC doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of TCC reaching ₹548 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.

What is the bull case for TCC?

TCC's P/E of 19.8x is lower than 63% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 0.79×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in TCC?

TCC's return on equity of 5.3% ranks in the 31st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on TCC