TCI
Tourism Finance Corporation of India
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Tourism Finance Corporation of India (TCI) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is TCI a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 50/100.
On the numbers, Tourism Finance Corporation of India (TCI) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 50/100, weighing a 46% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
TCI share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of TCI history (2%/yr drift, 33%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCI 2027 | ₹603 | ₹916 | ₹1,400 | -3% |
| TCI 2028 | ₹487 | ₹887 | ₹1,600 | -6% |
| TCI 2029 | ₹410 | ₹849 | ₹1,759 | -10% |
| TCI 2030 | ₹354 | ₹824 | ₹1,945 | -13% |
| TCI 2031 | ₹308 | ₹790 | ₹2,044 | -17% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability TCI goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for TCI
- Tourism Finance Corporation of India is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,759.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹410.
TCI volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years TCI compounded at 2%/year with annualized volatility of 33%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹603–₹1,400, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
TCI price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
TCI price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds TCI hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the TCI price target & forecast page.
TCI MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TCI with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 30.6% | 3.3× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 30.6% | 3.3× |
Compare every broker on the TCI MTF page.
TCI vs peers,sector comparison
About Tourism Finance Corporation of India: sector, index & market-cap context
Tourism Finance Corporation of India (TCI) is an NSE-listed company.
How the TCI Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Tourism Finance Corporation of India's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
TCI analysis, FAQs
Is Tourism Finance Corporation of India (TCI) a good buy?
On the numbers, Tourism Finance Corporation of India (TCI) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 50/100, weighing a 46% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is TCI overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for TCI are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the TCI share price target for 2031?
TCI's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹790, with an 80% range of ₹308–₹2,044 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability TCI doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of TCI reaching ₹1,896 (2×) within 5 years is 12%.
What is the bull case for TCI?
Tourism Finance Corporation of India is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in TCI?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.