TCIEXP
TCI EXPRESS LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
TCI EXPRESS LIMITED (TCIEXP) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is TCIEXP a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
TCI EXPRESS LIMITED (TCIEXP) trades at ₹580,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.
On the numbers, TCI EXPRESS LIMITED (TCIEXP) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 26.5× earnings, ROE of 10.4%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
TCIEXP fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How TCIEXP ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- TCIEXP's market cap of 2,131 Cr ranks in the 51st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TCIEXP's book value of ₹213 ranks in the 73rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TCIEXP's promoter holding of 69.5% ranks in the 73rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TCIEXP's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of -16.0% ranks in the 14th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TCIEXP's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.08x is lower than 80% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
We do not hold a 3-year revenue growth figure for TCIEXP, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.
Is TCIEXP overvalued? TCIEXP P/E vs peers
TCIEXP trades at 26.5× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
TCIEXP share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.5y of TCIEXP history (5%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCIEXP 2027 | ₹369 | ₹585 | ₹927 | +5% |
| TCIEXP 2028 | ₹321 | ₹616 | ₹1,183 | +11% |
| TCIEXP 2029 | ₹286 | ₹649 | ₹1,475 | +17% |
| TCIEXP 2030 | ₹268 | ₹685 | ₹1,751 | +23% |
| TCIEXP 2031 | ₹253 | ₹721 | ₹2,059 | +30% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability TCIEXP goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for TCIEXP
- TCI EXPRESS LIMITED is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,475.
The bear case & risks
- TCIEXP's P/E of 25.4x is lower than 53% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TCIEXP's return on equity of 10.4% ranks in the 52nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹286.
TCIEXP volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.5 years TCIEXP compounded at 5%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹369-₹927, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
TCIEXP price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
TCIEXP price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds TCIEXP hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the TCIEXP price target & forecast page.
TCIEXP Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. TCIEXP scores 4/8, mixed financial health.
TCIEXP MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TCIEXP with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| Zerodha | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| GrowwCHEAPEST | 34.23% | 2.9× |
| Dhan | 40.00% | 2.5× |
| Kotak Neo | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Paytm Money | 34.37% | 2.9× |
| Pocketful | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Fyers | 34.48% | 2.9× |
| Anand Rathi | 34.25% | 2.9× |
| Bajaj Broking | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 34.23% | 2.9× |
Compare every broker on the TCIEXP MTF page.
About TCI EXPRESS LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
TCI EXPRESS LIMITED (TCIEXP) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,227 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the TCIEXP Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of TCI EXPRESS LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
TCIEXP analysis, FAQs
Is TCI EXPRESS LIMITED (TCIEXP) a good buy?
On the numbers, TCI EXPRESS LIMITED (TCIEXP) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 26.5× earnings, ROE of 10.4%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is TCIEXP overvalued or undervalued?
TCIEXP trades at 26.5× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the TCIEXP share price target for 2031?
TCIEXP's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹721, with an 80% range of ₹253-₹2,059 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability TCIEXP doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of TCIEXP reaching ₹1,109 (2×) within 5 years is 30%.
What is the bull case for TCIEXP?
TCI EXPRESS LIMITED is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in TCIEXP?
TCIEXP's P/E of 25.4x is lower than 53% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. TCIEXP's return on equity of 10.4% ranks in the 52nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.