TCPLPACK
TCPL PACKAGING LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
TCPL PACKAGING LIMITED (TCPLPACK) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is TCPLPACK a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
TCPL PACKAGING LIMITED (TCPLPACK) trades at ₹3,131,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.
On the numbers, TCPL PACKAGING LIMITED (TCPLPACK) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 26.7× earnings, ROE of 15.7%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
TCPLPACK fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How TCPLPACK ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- TCPLPACK's market cap of 2,866 Cr ranks in the 57th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TCPLPACK's book value of ₹790 ranks in the top 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TCPLPACK's promoter holding of 55.7% ranks in the 43rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TCPLPACK's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 3.0% ranks in the 32nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TCPLPACK's 3-year revenue growth of 7.0% ranks in the 41st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TCPLPACK's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.88x is lower than 17% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is TCPLPACK overvalued? TCPLPACK P/E vs peers
TCPLPACK trades at 26.7× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
TCPLPACK share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of TCPLPACK history (15%/yr drift, 42%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCPLPACK 2027 | ₹1,889 | ₹3,243 | ₹5,569 | +4% |
| TCPLPACK 2028 | ₹1,566 | ₹3,360 | ₹7,208 | +7% |
| TCPLPACK 2029 | ₹1,383 | ₹3,480 | ₹8,754 | +11% |
| TCPLPACK 2030 | ₹1,220 | ₹3,605 | ₹10,654 | +15% |
| TCPLPACK 2031 | ₹1,114 | ₹3,734 | ₹12,514 | +19% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability TCPLPACK goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for TCPLPACK
- TCPLPACK's return on equity of 15.7% ranks in the 74th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹8,754.
The bear case & risks
- TCPLPACK's P/E of 26.8x is lower than 50% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,383.
TCPLPACK volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years TCPLPACK compounded at 15%/year with annualized volatility of 42%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,889-₹5,569, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
TCPLPACK price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
TCPLPACK price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds TCPLPACK hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the TCPLPACK price target & forecast page.
TCPLPACK Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. TCPLPACK scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
TCPLPACK MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TCPLPACK with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| Zerodha | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Groww | 33.99% | 2.9× |
| Dhan | 40.00% | 2.5× |
| Kotak Neo | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Pocketful | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 33.84% | 3.0× |
| Bajaj Broking | 42.00% | 2.4× |
| Share India | 33.99% | 2.9× |
Compare every broker on the TCPLPACK MTF page.
About TCPL PACKAGING LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
TCPL PACKAGING LIMITED (TCPLPACK) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,849 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the TCPLPACK Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of TCPL PACKAGING LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
TCPLPACK analysis, FAQs
Is TCPL PACKAGING LIMITED (TCPLPACK) a good buy?
On the numbers, TCPL PACKAGING LIMITED (TCPLPACK) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 26.7× earnings, ROE of 15.7%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is TCPLPACK overvalued or undervalued?
TCPLPACK trades at 26.7× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the TCPLPACK share price target for 2031?
TCPLPACK's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹3,734, with an 80% range of ₹1,114-₹12,514 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability TCPLPACK doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of TCPLPACK reaching ₹6,262 (2×) within 5 years is 29%.
What is the bull case for TCPLPACK?
TCPLPACK's return on equity of 15.7% ranks in the 74th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in TCPLPACK?
TCPLPACK's P/E of 26.8x is lower than 50% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.