TEGA
Tega Industries
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Tega Industries (TEGA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is TEGA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Tega Industries (TEGA) trades at ₹1,757,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.
On the numbers, Tega Industries (TEGA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 92.8× earnings, ROE of 5.9%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
TEGA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is TEGA overvalued? TEGA P/E vs its sector
TEGA's P/E of 92.8× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.11% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
TEGA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of TEGA history (6%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEGA 2027 | ₹1,094 | ₹1,790 | ₹2,866 | -0% |
| TEGA 2028 | ₹881 | ₹1,745 | ₹3,469 | -3% |
| TEGA 2029 | ₹746 | ₹1,728 | ₹3,996 | -4% |
| TEGA 2030 | ₹649 | ₹1,694 | ₹4,459 | -6% |
| TEGA 2031 | ₹581 | ₹1,687 | ₹4,916 | -6% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability TEGA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for TEGA
- Tega Industries is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,996.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 92.8× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- Return on equity is a soft 5.9%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹746.
TEGA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years TEGA compounded at 6%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,094–₹2,866, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
TEGA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
TEGA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds TEGA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the TEGA price target & forecast page.
TEGA Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. TEGA scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
TEGA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TEGA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 32.4% | 3.1× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 32.4% | 3.1× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 32.4% | 3.1× |
Compare every broker on the TEGA MTF page.
TEGA vs peers,sector comparison
About Tega Industries: sector, index & market-cap context
Tega Industries (TEGA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹13,235 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the TEGA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Tega Industries's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
TEGA analysis, FAQs
Is Tega Industries (TEGA) a good buy?
On the numbers, Tega Industries (TEGA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 92.8× earnings, ROE of 5.9%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is TEGA overvalued or undervalued?
TEGA trades at 92.8× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the TEGA share price target for 2031?
TEGA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,687, with an 80% range of ₹581–₹4,916 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability TEGA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of TEGA reaching ₹3,590 (2×) within 5 years is 18%.
What is the bull case for TEGA?
Tega Industries is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in TEGA?
A rich 92.8× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 5.9%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.